Mark Assinor
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mark Assinor's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-2.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.94x the positional average in the league (2114 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 92
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 19.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €697k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -15% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2114 (78% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.43
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.48
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 19 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1242
- Opponent strength
- 1178
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €644k – €2.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +5% (IQR -4% to +35%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 94%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | LNZ Cherkasy | Premier Liga | ST | 28 | 2114 | 78% | 8 | 2 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 1178 | 1242 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | LNZ Cherkasy | Premier Liga | ST | 3 | 240 | 9% | 1 | 0 | 0.38 | 0.62 | 1174 | 1110 | 0.28 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | LNZ Cherkasy | 4 | 261 | 1 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Guerrero Premier Liga · 2024 | 24 | €1.2M | €2.5M | rose |
| Diego Valencia Super League 1 · 2024 | 24 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| João Figueiredo Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €3.0M | €2.3M | fell |
| Simon Hedlund Superliga · 2020 | 27 | €1.4M | €1.2M | flat |
| Xesc Regis Super League 1 · 2021 | 25 | €450k | €500k | flat |
| Levan Shengelia Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €750k | €750k | flat |
| Jairo Super League 1 · 2017 | 25 | €800k | €1.4M | rose |
| Mykola Gayduchyk Premier Liga · 2023 | 24 | €400k | €500k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Podbrezova | LNZ Cherkasy | €230k | €300k |
| 19 Jul 2023 | Hutnik Krakow | Podbrezova | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Garbarnia | Hutnik Krakow | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Hutnik Krakow | Garbarnia | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 14 Jul 2022 | Kocmyrzów | Hutnik Krakow | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Zalesianka Z. | Kocmyrzów | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 22 Aug 2019 | Charity Stars | Zalesianka Z. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.