Maksim Boldyrev
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Maksim Boldyrev's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-3.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.10x the positional average in the league (1650 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 37
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 10.9th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €1.3M vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -3% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 18% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1650 (61% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.33
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.45
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 11 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1212
- Opponent strength
- 1327
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 18%
- Resale range (24m)
- €652k – €3.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +10% (IQR -32% to +157%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1650 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 50%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Akron Togliatti | Premier Liga | LW | 24 | 1650 | 61% | 3 | 3 | 0.33 | 0.45 | 1327 | 1212 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | Akron Togliatti | Premier Liga | AM | 1 | 45 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 1161 | 1260 | 0.55 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | Akron Togliatti | 4 | 208 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 155 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daishawn Redan Eredivisie · 2022 | 21 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Trezeguet Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 23 | €1.5M | €6.0M | rose |
| Fraser Hornby Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 24 | €1.0M | €1.2M | rose |
| Pape Habib Guèye Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 22 | €900k | €600k | fell |
| Fabrice Olinga Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 22 | €700k | €475k | fell |
| Maksim Glushenkov Premier Liga · 2022 | 23 | €1.8M | €11.0M | rose |
| Gegam Kadimyan Premier Liga · 2015 | 23 | €500k | €200k | fell |
| Oleksandr Zubkov Premier Liga · 2019 | 23 | €900k | €2.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb 2024 | M. Lipetsk | Akron Tolyatti | €40k | €200k |
| 11 Jul 2022 | Orbita Krasnog. | M. Lipetsk | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2022 | DYuSSh Lipetsk | Orbita Krasnog. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.