Maksim Glushenkov

27 yrs · Second striker (also RW, ST) · Russia
AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg · Premier Liga · Foot: left · Height: 179 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€15.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€10.0M – €17.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€8.6M – €20.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€6.1M – €16.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€8.5M – €10.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€10.0M – €17.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€8.6M – €20.1M
Projected value (24 months)€6.1M – €16.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Maksim Glushenkov's performance-implied value at EUR 8.6M-20.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.0M-17.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.1M-16.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.00x the positional average in the league (1988 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 32

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh79.9th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.9 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €13.0M vs market €15.0M
Expected appreciationLow-25% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.56
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €16.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1988 (74% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.86
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.39
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
80 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.56 (rank 10)
Team strength (Elo)
1597
Opponent strength
1314
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€6.1M – €16.7M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 26 pts; role change SS -> RW.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -65% to -6%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
20 (ATT)
Relative output kept
76%–104%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
50%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26AO FK Zenit Sankt-PeterburgPremier LigaRW27198874%9100.860.39131415970.56
2024/25AO FK Zenit Sankt-PeterburgPremier LigaSS20127547%950.990.47130715580.55
2023/24Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" МоскваPremier LigaSS29222082%6180.970.82132514160.49
2022/23PFK Krylya Sovetov SamaraPremier LigaST16129248%560.770.63130912700.53
2022/23Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" МоскваPremier LigaSS1384431%551.070.88130813990.53
2021/22PFK Krylya Sovetov SamaraPremier LigaST28141853%720.570.62136812890.52
2020/21FC Khimki (-2025)Premier LigaRW62459%200.730.46130713070.55
2020/21FK Spartak MoskvaPremier LigaSS5873%000.000.44131014200.55
2019/20PFK Krylya Sovetov SamaraPremier LigaRW1065124%300.410.58142712800.63
2019/20FK Spartak MoskvaPremier LigaRW110%000.000.51150513920.63
2018/19FK Spartak MoskvaPremier LigaRW5954%000.000.39140014440.69

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Russian CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg730522—
2024/25Russian CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg519800—
2024/25Russian Super CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg190201405
2023/24Russian CupФутбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва931223—
2022/23Russian CupPFK Krylya Sovetov Samara521010—
2022/23Russian CupФутбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва312800—
2021/22Russian CupPFK Krylya Sovetov Samara17800—
2018/19Russian CupChertanovo Moscow112010—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Ally Samatta
Jupiler Pro League · 2019
27€12.0M€4.2Mfell
Haris Seferovic
Liga Portugal · 2021
29€14.0M€4.0Mfell
Simon Banza
Liga Portugal · 2024
28€18.0M€11.0Mfell
Luiz Adriano
Premier Liga · 2014
27€7.0M€10.0Mrose
Andreas Skov Olsen
Jupiler Pro League · 2024
25€18.0M€6.0Mfell
Malcom
Premier Liga · 2022
25€22.0M€28.0Mrose
Dieumerci Mbokani
Jupiler Pro League · 2013
28€10.0M€8.5Mflat
Garry Rodrigues
Super Lig · 2018
28€8.0M€5.5Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2024Loko MoscowZenit S-Pb€6.3M€11.0M
1 Jan 2023KS SamaraLoko Moscow€2.6M€2.8M
1 Jul 2022Spartak MoscowKS Samara€1.8M€1.8M
30 Jun 2022KS SamaraSpartak MoscowFree / loan€1.8M
1 Aug 2021Spartak MoscowKS SamaraFree / loan€1.5M
30 Jun 2021KhimkiSpartak MoscowFree / loan€1.5M
2 Feb 2021Spartak MoscowKhimkiFree / loan€1.5M
31 Jul 2020KS SamaraSpartak MoscowFree / loan€1.2M
21 Feb 2020Spartak MoscowKS SamaraFree / loan€900k
1 Jan 2019ChertanovoSpartak Moscow€300k€700k
22 Jul 2016Akad ChertanovoChertanovoUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.