Myroslav Serdyuk

27 yrs · Centre-back · Ukraine
FC Kudrivka · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 184 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€400k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€125k – €344k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€228k – €439k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€260k – €485k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€117k – €315k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€125k – €344k
Model value (performance-implied)€228k – €439k
Projected value (24 months)€260k – €485k
Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Myroslav Serdyuk's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 94

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average1.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.9 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €166k vs market €400k
Expected appreciationLow-10% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €400k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1805 (67% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.10
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
1 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1042
Opponent strength
1154
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€260k – €485k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -39% to +36%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
11 (DEF)
Relative output kept
108%–176%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
82%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC KudrivkaPremier LigaCB21180567%020.100.10115410420.25

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Danylo Karas
Premier Liga · 2024
27€350k€500krose
Vladyslav Pryimak
Premier Liga · 2024
28€400k€400kflat
Yuriy Romanyuk
Premier Liga · 2023
26€400k€150kfell
Yevgeniy Shevchenko
Premier Liga · 2024
29€300k€400krose
Jordan McGhee
Scottish Premiership · 2024
28€350k€100kfell
Oleksandr Osman
Premier Liga · 2024
28€350k€250kfell
Valeriy Dubko
Premier Liga · 2024
23€350k€500krose
Mikey Devlin
Scottish Premiership · 2024
31€250k€250kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
29 Feb 2024FC KudrivkaKudrivka-NyvaUnknownData unavailable
27 Jul 2023ChernigivFC KudrivkaFree / loanData unavailable
25 Aug 2022Fakel LypovetsChernigivFree / loanData unavailable
25 Mar 2022FC KudrivkaFakel LypovetsFree / loanData unavailable
1 Sept 2020FK ChernigivFC KudrivkaFree / loanData unavailable
22 Jun 2020Without ClubFK ChernigivUnknownData unavailable
31 Jan 2020Desna IIWithout ClubUnknownData unavailable
20 Jul 2018UnknownDesna IIFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2018Polissya Dobr.UnknownFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.