Bakary Konaté

23 yrs · Centre-back · Mali
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 187 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€800k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€419k – €1.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€457k – €1.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€415k – €1.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€842k – €696k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€419k – €1.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€457k – €1.1M
Projected value (24 months)€415k – €1.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Bakary Konaté's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 59

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average21th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable23.2 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €770k vs market €800k
Expected appreciationNeutral+4% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €800k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1440 (53% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.06
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.05
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
21 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1219
Opponent strength
1160
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€415k – €1.8M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 23 pts; relative output up 63% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -3% (IQR -47% to +113%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1440 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
11 (DEF)
Relative output kept
108%–176%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
82%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Kryvbas Kryvyi RigPremier LigaCB16144053%100.060.05116012190.25
2024/25Kryvbas Kryvyi RigPremier LigaCB1282631%000.000.03121212370.28

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupKryvbas Kryvyi Rig217000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Jack MacKenzie
Scottish Premiership · 2024
24€400k€800krose
Roman Vantukh
Premier Liga · 2024
26€700k€700kflat
Slobodan Rubežić
Scottish Premiership · 2024
24€800k€500kfell
Oleksandr Melnyk
Premier Liga · 2023
23€300k€25kfell
Richard Taylor
Scottish Premiership · 2024
24€400k€375kflat
Oleksandr Martynyuk
Premier Liga · 2024
23€500k€1.5Mrose
Adam Tzanetopoulos
Super League 1 · 2017
22€800k€250kfell
Georgios Liavas
Super League 1 · 2023
22€350k€900krose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
5 Feb 2026KryvbasMaccabi Netanya€500k€800k
5 Jul 2024VilaverdenseKryvbasFree / loan€150k
30 Jun 2023SalgueirosVilaverdenseFree / loanData unavailable
1 Aug 2022VilaverdenseSalgueirosFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2022Vilaverdense 19VilaverdenseUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2021UnknownVilaverdense 19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Bakary Konaté · MoneyballAI