
Roman Vantukh
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Roman Vantukh's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.25x the positional average in the league (1835 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 78
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 17.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 28 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €384k vs market €700k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -27% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1835 (68% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.34
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.28
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 18 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1192
- Opponent strength
- 1179
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €284k – €692k
Trajectory drivers: role change LB -> LM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -38% to -9%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | LM | 22 | 1835 | 68% | 5 | 2 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 1179 | 1192 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | LB | 26 | 2095 | 78% | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 1210 | 1182 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | LB | 23 | 1763 | 65% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 1266 | 1235 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | LB | 21 | 1144 | 42% | 1 | 2 | 0.24 | 0.16 | 1292 | 1406 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | Chornomorets Odesa | Premier Liga | LB | 9 | 617 | 38% | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 1260 | 1156 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | LB | 17 | 1344 | 57% | 1 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 1295 | 1285 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | Olimpik Donetsk | Premier Liga | LB | 10 | 779 | 39% | 1 | 1 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 1312 | 1221 | 0.54 |
| 2019/20 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | LB | 2 | 166 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1238 | 1356 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | Olimpik Donetsk | Premier Liga | LB | 3 | 233 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1297 | 1270 | 0.57 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 68 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 109 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 1549 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 119 | 0 | 0 | 1364 |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | Chornomorets Odesa | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 3 | 329 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | Olimpik Donetsk | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark O'Hara Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 29 | €700k | €500k | fell |
| Gennadiy Pasich Premier Liga · 2024 | 31 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Pavlo Orikhovskyi Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Keanu Baccus Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €900k | €700k | fell |
| Artem Kozak Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Ian Harkes Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 28 | €450k | €1.0M | rose |
| Orest Kuzyk Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Jamie McGrath Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 28 | €900k | €1.2M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Zorya Lugansk | Without Club | Unknown | €700k |
| 1 Sept 2022 | Dynamo Kyiv | Zorya Lugansk | €300k | €400k |
| 31 Aug 2022 | Zorya Lugansk | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €400k |
| 18 Jul 2022 | Dynamo Kyiv | Zorya Lugansk | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | SC Dnipro-1 | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €400k |
| 17 Jan 2022 | Dynamo Kyiv | SC Dnipro-1 | Free / loan | €400k |
| 31 Dec 2021 | Chornomorets | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Sept 2021 | Dynamo Kyiv | Chornomorets | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | FC Oleksandriya | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €500k |
| 6 Oct 2020 | Dynamo Kyiv | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Aug 2020 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Dynamo Kyiv | Unknown | €350k |
| 31 Jul 2020 | FC Oleksandriya | Dynamo Kyiv II | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Dynamo Kyiv II | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €200k |
| 31 Dec 2019 | Olimpik Donetsk | Dynamo Kyiv II | Free / loan | €200k |
| 19 Feb 2019 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Olimpik Donetsk | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.