Roman Vantukh

28 yrs · Left-back (also LM) · Ukraine
Zorya Lugansk · Premier Liga · Foot: left · Height: 176 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€700k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€218k – €577k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€600k – €746k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€284k – €692k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€23k – €528k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€218k – €577k
Model value (performance-implied)€600k – €746k
Projected value (24 months)€284k – €692k
Dashed line: current market value (€700k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Roman Vantukh's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.25x the positional average in the league (1835 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 78

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average17.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral28 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €384k vs market €700k
Expected appreciationVery low-27% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €700k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1835 (68% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.34
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.28
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
18 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1192
Opponent strength
1179
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€284k – €692k

Trajectory drivers: role change LB -> LM.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -38% to -9%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
37 (all positions)
Relative output kept
87%–128%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
86%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Zorya LuganskPremier LigaLM22183568%520.340.28117911920.25
2024/25Zorya LuganskPremier LigaLB26209578%120.130.16121011820.28
2023/24Zorya LuganskPremier LigaLB23176365%010.050.08126612350.34
2022/23Zorya LuganskPremier LigaLB21114442%120.240.16129214060.38
2021/22Chornomorets OdesaPremier LigaLB961738%010.150.16126011560.45
2020/21FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaLB17134457%120.200.17129512850.49
2019/20Olimpik DonetskPremier LigaLB1077939%110.230.22131212210.54
2019/20FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaLB21668%000.000.10123813560.54
2018/19Olimpik DonetskPremier LigaLB323312%000.000.10129712700.57

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupZorya Lugansk16801—
2024/25Ukrainian CupZorya Lugansk210900—
2023/24Uefa Europa League QualifyingZorya Lugansk2180011549
2023/24Ukrainian CupZorya Lugansk19000—
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingZorya Lugansk2119001364
2021/22Ukrainian CupChornomorets Odesa1400—
2020/21Ukrainian CupFC Oleksandriya332910—
2019/20Ukrainian CupOlimpik Donetsk11200—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Mark O'Hara
Scottish Premiership · 2024
29€700k€500kfell
Gennadiy Pasich
Premier Liga · 2024
31€500k€300kfell
Pavlo Orikhovskyi
Premier Liga · 2024
28€500k€400kfell
Keanu Baccus
Scottish Premiership · 2024
26€900k€700kfell
Artem Kozak
Premier Liga · 2024
26€800k€500kfell
Ian Harkes
Scottish Premiership · 2023
28€450k€1.0Mrose
Orest Kuzyk
Premier Liga · 2024
29€500k€250kfell
Jamie McGrath
Scottish Premiership · 2024
28€900k€1.2Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026Zorya LuganskWithout ClubUnknown€700k
1 Sept 2022Dynamo KyivZorya Lugansk€300k€400k
31 Aug 2022Zorya LuganskDynamo KyivFree / loan€400k
18 Jul 2022Dynamo KyivZorya LuganskFree / loan€400k
30 Jun 2022SC Dnipro-1Dynamo KyivFree / loan€400k
17 Jan 2022Dynamo KyivSC Dnipro-1Free / loan€400k
31 Dec 2021ChornomoretsDynamo KyivFree / loan€400k
1 Sept 2021Dynamo KyivChornomoretsFree / loan€500k
30 Jun 2021FC OleksandriyaDynamo KyivFree / loan€500k
6 Oct 2020Dynamo KyivFC OleksandriyaFree / loan€350k
1 Aug 2020Dynamo Kyiv IIDynamo KyivUnknown€350k
31 Jul 2020FC OleksandriyaDynamo Kyiv IIFree / loan€350k
1 Jan 2020Dynamo Kyiv IIFC OleksandriyaFree / loan€200k
31 Dec 2019Olimpik DonetskDynamo Kyiv IIFree / loan€200k
19 Feb 2019Dynamo Kyiv IIOlimpik DonetskFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Dynamo Kyiv U19Dynamo Kyiv IIUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.