Adrián Liso
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Adrián Liso's performance-implied value at EUR 2.4M-14.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.1M-6.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.0M-9.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.69x the positional average in the league (1712 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 72
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 50.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €3.5M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +47% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 27% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1712 (50% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.21
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.35
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 51 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1446
- Opponent strength
- 1497
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 27%
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.0M – €9.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +55% (IQR +0% to +113%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1712 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Getafe CF | Laliga | ST | 28 | 1712 | 50% | 3 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.35 | 1497 | 1446 | 0.95 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 3 | 89 | 0 | 2 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josef Martínez Serie A · 2015 | 22 | €2.5M | €3.0M | rose |
| Álvaro Vázquez Laliga · 2013 | 22 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Yacine Brahimi Laliga · 2013 | 23 | €4.0M | €18.5M | rose |
| Joel Campbell Laliga · 2013 | 21 | €2.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Oumar Diakité Ligue 1 · 2024 | 21 | €6.0M | €5.0M | flat |
| Benedict Hollerbach Bundesliga · 2024 | 23 | €4.0M | €8.0M | rose |
| Ismail Jakobs Bundesliga · 2020 | 21 | €2.7M | €7.0M | rose |
| Dani Gómez Laliga · 2021 | 23 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Getafe | Real Zaragoza | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 2 Jul 2025 | Real Zaragoza | Getafe | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Dep. Aragón | Real Zaragoza | Unknown | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Zaragoza U19 | Dep. Aragón | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Zaragoza Youth | Zaragoza U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.