Ismail Jakobs

27 yrs · Left-back (also LM, LW) · Senegal
Galatasaray · Super Lig · Foot: left · Height: 184 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€8.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€3.0M – €6.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.7M – €4.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.9M – €8.4M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€5.1M – €1.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.0M – €6.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.7M – €4.4M
Projected value (24 months)€2.9M – €8.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Ismail Jakobs's performance-implied value at EUR 1.7M-4.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.0M-6.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.9M-8.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 67

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage51.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.9 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €4.0M vs market €8.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-41% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €8.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1299 (43% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.07
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.07
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
52 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1501
Opponent strength
1254
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.9M – €8.4M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -34% (IQR -44% to -27%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1299 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
50 (DEF)
Relative output kept
68%–191%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
54%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26GalatasaraySuper LigLB25129942%010.070.07125415010.40
2024/25GalatasaraySuper LigLB17118437%020.150.08128315570.39
2024/25AS MonacoLigue 1LB21806%000.000.08140115710.88
2023/24AS MonacoLigue 1LB22146848%120.180.14146415730.87
2022/23AS MonacoLigue 1LB32110032%020.160.13145014850.82
2021/22AS MonacoLigue 1LB28119035%010.080.08141415990.86
2020/211.FC KölnBundesligaLM23172856%110.100.19156914001.06
2019/201.FC KölnBundesligaLW20167855%220.210.35154314071.06

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueGalatasaray12871001638
2025/26Africa Cup Of NationsSenegal424801—
2025/26World CupSenegal212600—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueGalatasaray3270001426
2022/23Uefa Champions League QualifyingAS Monaco2143001669
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueAS Monaco697011526
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueAS Monaco3118001368
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingAS Monaco347011510
2020/21Dfb Pokal1.FC Köln217411—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Ousseynou Ba
Super League 1 · 2021
26€5.0M€3.5Mfell
Alistair Johnston
Scottish Premiership · 2023
25€7.0M€10.0Mrose
Yukhym Konoplya
Premier Liga · 2024
25€6.0M€5.0Mflat
Christian Luyindama
Super Lig · 2021
27€5.5M€800kfell
Dujon Sterling
Scottish Premiership · 2024
25€4.0M€2.5Mfell
Dimitrios Siovas
Super League 1 · 2015
27€3.5M€2.0Mfell
Cristian Ramírez
Premier Liga · 2022
28€5.0M€3.5Mfell
Nir Bitton
Scottish Premiership · 2018
27€2.3M€1.2Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025MonacoGalatasaray€8.0M€7.0M
30 Jun 2025GalatasarayMonacoFree / loan€7.0M
2 Sept 2024MonacoGalatasarayFree / loan€8.0M
12 Jul 20211.FC KölnMonaco€7.3M€7.0M
1 Jul 20191.FC Köln II1.FC KölnUnknown€50k
1 Jul 20181.FC Köln U191.FC Köln IIUnknown€50k
1 Jul 20161.FC Köln U171.FC Köln U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 20151.FC Köln Yth.1.FC Köln U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Bliesheim Jgd.1.FC Köln Yth.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.