Yaya Bojang

22 yrs · Centre-back · The Gambia
Odense Boldklub · Superliga · Foot: right · Height: 192 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: HighContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€800k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€408k – €1.7M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€206k – €600k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€523k – €2.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.5M – €192k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€408k – €1.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€206k – €600k
Projected value (24 months)€523k – €2.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Yaya Bojang's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-2.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 90

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average0.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable21.8 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €544k vs market €800k
Expected appreciationNeutral+10% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentHighbreakout probability 32%
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.47
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €850k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
927 (47% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.10
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
1 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.47 (rank 12)
Team strength (Elo)
1215
Opponent strength
1294
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
High
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
32%
Resale range (24m)
€523k – €2.7M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -3% to +14%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 927 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
24 (DEF)
Relative output kept
60%–139%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
71%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Odense BoldklubSuperligaCB1892747%010.100.10129412150.47

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Oddset PokalenOdense Boldklub535002—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Pedro Amaral
Super League 1 · 2019
22€800k€800kflat
Oleksiy Sych
Jupiler Pro League · 2023
22€600k€900krose
Oleksandr Romanchuk
Premier Liga · 2021
22€400k€350kflat
Pierre-Yves Ngawa
Jupiler Pro League · 2015
23€700k€450kfell
Guga
Liga Portugal · 2024
21€700k€700kflat
Modou Tambedou
Jupiler Pro League · 2023
20€1.0M€1.0Mflat
Alexandros Katranis
Super League 1 · 2020
22€625k€650kflat
Stefano Marzo
Jupiler Pro League · 2013
22€400k€700krose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
9 Jan 2024Real de BanjulOdense BK€50kData unavailable
31 Dec 2023Odense BK U19Real de BanjulFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2023Real de BanjulOdense BK U19Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.