Callum McGregor

The model rates Callum McGregor's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-2.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-2.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.62x the positional average in the league (2759 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

2759 (93% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.13

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.08

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

69 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.31 (rank 26)

Team strength (Elo)

1406

Opponent strength

1196

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€384k – €1.3M

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-106 Elo); relative output down 43% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -64% (IQR -80% to -49%).

• ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

10 (MID)

Relative output kept

77%–107%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

80%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.