Moncef Zekri
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Moncef Zekri's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.8M-9.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.5M-12.6M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 18th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 17.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very unfavorable | est. €6.1M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +17% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 43% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 830 (31% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 18 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1370
- Opponent strength
- 1326
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 43%
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.5M – €12.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +4% (IQR -43% to +24%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 830 league minutes last season.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 16 | 830 | 31% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1326 | 1370 | 0.65 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saïdou Sow Ligue 1 · 2021 | 19 | €2.5M | €3.5M | rose |
| Gonçalo Cardoso Liga Portugal · 2019 | 19 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Egor Pogostnov Premier Liga · 2023 | 19 | €1.5M | €1.8M | rose |
| Sebastian Walukiewicz Serie A · 2020 | 20 | €3.6M | €5.0M | rose |
| Andy Pelmard Ligue 1 · 2021 | 21 | €4.0M | €4.3M | flat |
| Vadim Karpov Premier Liga · 2020 | 18 | €1.3M | €500k | fell |
| Lucas Noubi Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 19 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Danilo Veiga Liga Portugal · 2023 | 21 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Jong KVM | KV Mechelen | Unknown | €500k |
| 15 Jan 2025 | KV Mechelen U18 | Jong KVM | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2023 | STVV Youth | KV Mechelen U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | OH Leuven Yth. | STVV Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.