Harry Kane

The model rates Harry Kane's performance-implied value at EUR 21.7M-67.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 21.9M-56.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 18.2M-39.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.07x the positional average in the league (2382 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

2382 (78% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

1.55

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.54

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

100 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.94 (rank 3)

Team strength (Elo)

1871

Opponent strength

1455

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€18.2M – €39.1M

Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+99 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -61% (IQR -67% to -43%).

• ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.