Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Pantelis Hatzidiakos's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-3.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-3.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-2.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 25
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 48.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.7M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -54% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1646 (83% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 49 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1359
- Opponent strength
- 1234
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.2M – €2.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 15 pts; league level up (+45 Elo); relative output down 22% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -24% (IQR -44% to -17%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1646 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 24 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 60%–139%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 71%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | CB | 20 | 1646 | 83% | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 1234 | 1359 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | CB | 15 | 1344 | 68% | 1 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.08 | 1277 | 1399 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | Cagliari Calcio | Serie A | CB | 13 | 863 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1540 | 1349 | 0.98 |
| 2023/24 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | CB | 2 | 180 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1247 | 1441 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | CB | 33 | 2790 | 91% | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | 0.07 | 1346 | 1530 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | CB | 28 | 2108 | 69% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1366 | 1496 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | CB | 23 | 1911 | 62% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 1354 | 1557 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | CB | 11 | 739 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 1368 | 1542 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | CB | 17 | 1192 | 39% | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.07 | 1314 | 1459 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | CB | 26 | 2113 | 69% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 1288 | 1489 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | RB | 2 | 180 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1492 | 1369 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | CB | 4 | 174 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1444 | 1460 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | FC Copenhagen | 7 | 558 | 0 | 0 | 1627 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1401 |
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 5 | 239 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 7 | 463 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 390 | 1 | 0 | 1276 |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Cagliari Calcio | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 455 | 0 | 1 | 1339 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 228 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 402 | 0 | 0 | 1577 |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 204 | 1 | 0 | 1476 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 181 | 0 | 0 | 1364 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1425 |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 171 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 270 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1645 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Duarte Super Lig · 2024 | 28 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Dmitriy Skopintsev Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €3.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Michael Ngadeu Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 32 | €3.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Davide Biraschi Super Lig · 2023 | 29 | €1.3M | €500k | fell |
| Denys Favorov Premier Liga · 2022 | 31 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Uğur Çiftçi Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €1.8M | €2.1M | flat |
| Andreas Maxsø Superliga · 2021 | 27 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Fernando Varela Super League 1 · 2017 | 30 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Cagliari | Copenhagen | €1.5M | €3.2M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Copenhagen | Cagliari | Free / loan | €3.2M |
| 2 Sept 2024 | Cagliari | Copenhagen | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 1 Sept 2023 | AZ Alkmaar | Cagliari | €2.7M | €4.0M |
| 4 Dec 2015 | AZ Alkmaar U21 | AZ Alkmaar | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | AZ U19 | AZ Alkmaar U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | AZ U17 | AZ U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | AZ Alkmaar Yth. | AZ U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | PAO U17 | AZ Alkmaar Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.