
Peter Ankersen
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Peter Ankersen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Average | 43.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 35.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €48k vs market €100k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1780 (90% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.20
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.16
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 43 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1315
- Opponent strength
- 1250
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €77k – €101k
Trajectory drivers: league level up (+45 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -62% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 36: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1780 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 24 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 60%–139%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 71%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | RB | 21 | 1780 | 90% | 3 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.16 | 1250 | 1314 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | RB | 20 | 1795 | 91% | 3 | 3 | 0.30 | 0.16 | 1288 | 1341 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | RB | 10 | 390 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1255 | 1517 | 0.48 |
| 2021/22 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | RB | 18 | 1133 | 57% | 1 | 2 | 0.24 | 0.09 | 1244 | 1516 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | RB | 11 | 927 | 47% | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.10 | 1252 | 1409 | 0.43 |
| 2019/20 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | RM | 19 | 1062 | 31% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.30 | 1440 | 1324 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | RB | 26 | 2340 | 100% | 1 | 7 | 0.31 | 0.17 | 1295 | 1499 | 0.44 |
| 2017/18 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | RB | 19 | 1607 | 69% | 0 | 4 | 0.22 | 0.09 | 1267 | 1453 | 0.47 |
| 2016/17 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | RB | 24 | 2090 | 89% | 2 | 8 | 0.43 | 0.19 | 1301 | 1595 | 0.48 |
| 2015/16 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | RB | 30 | 2410 | 81% | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 1291 | 1500 | 0.53 |
| 2013/14 | Esbjerg fB | Superliga | RB | 30 | 2673 | 90% | 2 | 6 | 0.27 | 0.16 | 1343 | 1438 | 0.63 |
| 2012/13 | Esbjerg fB | Superliga | RB | 26 | 2340 | 79% | 3 | 3 | 0.23 | 0.17 | 1345 | 1375 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | 231 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 177 | 1 | 3 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | FC Copenhagen | 7 | 464 | 0 | 0 | 1715 |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 4 | 286 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1351 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 77 | 0 | 1 | 1332 |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1499 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1494 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 499 | 0 | 0 | 1491 |
| 2018/19 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 720 | 1 | 2 | 1489 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 1471 |
| 2017/18 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 156 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 536 | 0 | 0 | 1553 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 5 | 450 | 0 | 2 | 1382 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | FC Copenhagen | 4 | 360 | 0 | 1 | 1577 |
| 2016/17 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 164 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 4 | 356 | 0 | 2 | 1366 |
| 2015/16 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 198 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League | Esbjerg fB | 6 | 540 | 0 | 2 | 1500 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Esbjerg fB | 2 | 180 | 2 | 0 | 1566 |
| 2012/13 | Oddset Pokalen | Esbjerg fB | 6 | 555 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Rosenborg Ballklub | 4 | 315 | 1 | 0 | 1346 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sörensen Superliga · 2013 | 36 | €200k | €100k | fell |
| Aderllan Santos Liga Portugal · 2024 | 35 | €200k | €100k | fell |
| Karel D'Haene Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 35 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Rúben Fernandes Liga Portugal · 2021 | 35 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Denys Kulakov Premier Liga · 2021 | 35 | €250k | €100k | fell |
| Karim Belhocine Jupiler Pro League · 2013 | 35 | €150k | €150k | flat |
| Pieter-Jan Monteyne Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 33 | €200k | €50k | fell |
| Güray Vural Super Lig · 2024 | 36 | €225k | €225k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Copenhagen | Nordsjaelland | Free / loan | €300k |
| 26 Sept 2020 | Genoa | Copenhagen | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 2 Sept 2019 | Copenhagen | Genoa | €1.0M | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Salzburg | Copenhagen | €1.5M | €1.3M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Copenhagen | Salzburg | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Salzburg | Copenhagen | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Esbjerg fB | Salzburg | €2.5M | €2.0M |
| 17 Aug 2012 | Rosenborg BK | Esbjerg fB | Free / loan | €250k |
| 28 Mar 2012 | Vejle-Kolding | Rosenborg BK | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Vejle BK | Vejle-Kolding | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Esbjerg fB | Vejle BK | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Esbjerg fB U19 | Esbjerg fB | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2007 | Esbjerg Youth | Esbjerg fB U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.