Peter Ankersen

36 yrs · Right-back (also RM) · Denmark
FC Nordsjaelland · Superliga · Foot: right · Height: 180 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€100k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€36k – €133k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€170k – €530k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€77k – €101k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€37k – €494k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€36k – €133k
Model value (performance-implied)€170k – €530k
Projected value (24 months)€77k – €101k
Dashed line: current market value (€100k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Peter Ankersen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAverage43.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable35.8 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €48k vs market €100k
Expected appreciationNeutral+2% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.47
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1780 (90% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.20
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.16
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
43 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.47 (rank 12)
Team strength (Elo)
1315
Opponent strength
1250
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€77k – €101k

Trajectory drivers: league level up (+45 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -62% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Age 36: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1780 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
24 (DEF)
Relative output kept
60%–139%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
71%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC NordsjaellandSuperligaRB21178090%310.200.16125013140.47
2024/25FC NordsjaellandSuperligaRB20179591%330.300.16128813410.38
2023/24FC CopenhagenSuperligaRB1039020%000.000.06125515170.48
2021/22FC CopenhagenSuperligaRB18113357%120.240.09124415160.45
2020/21FC CopenhagenSuperligaRB1192747%110.190.10125214090.43
2019/20Genoa CFCSerie ARM19106231%010.080.30144013240.82
2018/19FC CopenhagenSuperligaRB262340100%170.310.17129514990.44
2017/18FC CopenhagenSuperligaRB19160769%040.220.09126714530.47
2016/17FC CopenhagenSuperligaRB24209089%280.430.19130115950.48
2015/16FC CopenhagenSuperligaRB30241081%030.110.07129115000.53
2013/14Esbjerg fBSuperligaRB30267390%260.270.16134314380.63
2012/13Esbjerg fBSuperligaRB26234079%330.230.17134513750.54

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Oddset PokalenFC Nordsjaelland323110—
2024/25Oddset PokalenFC Nordsjaelland217713—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueFC Copenhagen7464001715
2023/24Oddset PokalenFC Copenhagen428600—
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingFC Copenhagen145001351
2021/22Uefa Conference League QualifyingFC Copenhagen377011332
2021/22Oddset PokalenFC Copenhagen17100—
2020/21Oddset PokalenFC Copenhagen112000—
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Copenhagen167001499
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueFC Copenhagen6540001494
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Copenhagen6499001491
2018/19Oddset PokalenFC Copenhagen19000—
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueFC Copenhagen8720121489
2017/18Uefa Champions League QualifyingFC Copenhagen2180011471
2017/18Oddset PokalenFC Copenhagen215600—
2016/17Uefa Champions LeagueFC Copenhagen6536001553
2016/17Uefa Champions League QualifyingFC Copenhagen5450021382
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueFC Copenhagen4360011577
2016/17Oddset PokalenFC Copenhagen216401—
2015/16Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Copenhagen4356021366
2015/16Oddset PokalenFC Copenhagen319800—
2013/14Uefa Europa LeagueEsbjerg fB6540021500
2013/14Uefa Europa League QualifyingEsbjerg fB2180201566
2012/13Oddset PokalenEsbjerg fB655501—
2012/13Uefa Europa League QualifyingRosenborg Ballklub4315101346

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Chris Sörensen
Superliga · 2013
36€200k€100kfell
Aderllan Santos
Liga Portugal · 2024
35€200k€100kfell
Karel D'Haene
Jupiler Pro League · 2015
35€300k€100kfell
Rúben Fernandes
Liga Portugal · 2021
35€100k€100kflat
Denys Kulakov
Premier Liga · 2021
35€250k€100kfell
Karim Belhocine
Jupiler Pro League · 2013
35€150k€150kflat
Pieter-Jan Monteyne
Jupiler Pro League · 2016
33€200k€50kfell
Güray Vural
Super Lig · 2024
36€225k€225kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2024CopenhagenNordsjaellandFree / loan€300k
26 Sept 2020GenoaCopenhagenUnknown€1.0M
2 Sept 2019CopenhagenGenoa€1.0M€3.0M
1 Jul 2016SalzburgCopenhagen€1.5M€1.3M
30 Jun 2016CopenhagenSalzburgFree / loan€1.3M
1 Jul 2015SalzburgCopenhagenFree / loan€1.3M
1 Jul 2014Esbjerg fBSalzburg€2.5M€2.0M
17 Aug 2012Rosenborg BKEsbjerg fBFree / loan€250k
28 Mar 2012Vejle-KoldingRosenborg BKFree / loan€300k
1 Jul 2011Vejle BKVejle-KoldingUnknown€250k
1 Jul 2010Esbjerg fBVejle BKFree / loan€50k
1 Jul 2009Esbjerg fB U19Esbjerg fBUnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2007Esbjerg YouthEsbjerg fB U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.