Robert Andrich
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Robert Andrich's performance-implied value at EUR 4.9M-11.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.5M-6.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-3.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 2
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 92.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €4.6M vs market €6.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -60% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2547 (83% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.04
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 92 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1626
- Opponent strength
- 1488
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.6M – €3.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 31 pts; role change DM -> CB; relative output down 27% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -58% (IQR -73% to -45%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CB | 32 | 2547 | 83% | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 1488 | 1626 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | DM | 23 | 1605 | 52% | 2 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.09 | 1488 | 1681 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | DM | 28 | 1682 | 55% | 4 | 2 | 0.32 | 0.14 | 1484 | 1787 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | DM | 29 | 2410 | 79% | 2 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 1535 | 1601 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CM | 26 | 1820 | 59% | 4 | 3 | 0.35 | 0.25 | 1510 | 1639 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | CM | 29 | 2529 | 83% | 5 | 2 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 1511 | 1508 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | CM | 30 | 2579 | 84% | 1 | 3 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 1535 | 1434 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 744 | 1 | 1 | 1641 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 474 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 7 | 272 | 0 | 1 | 1636 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 219 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1637 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 11 | 757 | 1 | 2 | 1520 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 6 | 478 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 6 | 566 | 0 | 0 | 1568 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 409 | 1 | 0 | 1620 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 69 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 325 | 3 | 0 | 1564 |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 2 | 119 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 4 | 294 | 3 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berat Djimsiti Serie A · 2024 | 31 | €10.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Mariano Laliga · 2017 | 31 | €8.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Ragnar Sigurdsson Premier Liga · 2015 | 29 | €5.0M | €4.5M | flat |
| Danilo Pereira Ligue 1 · 2023 | 32 | €10.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Dusan Basta Serie A · 2015 | 31 | €5.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Nicolas Lombaerts Premier Liga · 2014 | 29 | €9.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Alex Ligue 1 · 2014 | 32 | €5.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| José Luis Palomino Serie A · 2022 | 32 | €7.5M | €700k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2021 | Union Berlin | Leverkusen | €6.5M | €7.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Heidenheim | Union Berlin | €3.1M | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Wehen Wiesbaden | Heidenheim | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Dynamo Dresden | Wehen Wiesbaden | Unknown | €175k |
| 2 Feb 2015 | Hertha BSC II | Dynamo Dresden | Free / loan | €125k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Hertha BSC U19 | Hertha BSC II | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Hertha BSC U17 | Hertha BSC U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Hertha BSC Yth. | Hertha BSC U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2003 | T. Potsdam Jgd. | Hertha BSC Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.