Andreas Hansen

31 yrs · Goalkeeper · Denmark
FC Nordsjaelland · Superliga · Foot: right · Height: 186 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€1.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€244k – €1.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€403k – €1.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€381k – €765k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€798k – €921k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€244k – €1.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€403k – €1.2M
Projected value (24 months)€381k – €765k
Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Andreas Hansen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 61

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average30.7th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.9 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €522k vs market €1.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-42% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.47
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.3M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1530 (77% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.00
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
31 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.47 (rank 12)
Team strength (Elo)
1315
Opponent strength
1263
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€381k – €765k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 23 pts; league level up (+45 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -42% to -25%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1530 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
67 (all positions)
Relative output kept
71%–125%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
67%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC NordsjaellandSuperligaGK17153077%000.000.00126313140.47
2024/25FC NordsjaellandSuperligaGK221980100%000.000.00129213410.38
2023/24FC NordsjaellandSuperligaGK19168085%010.050.02126914440.48
2022/23FC NordsjaellandSuperligaGK221980100%000.000.00129513520.47
2021/22FC NordsjaellandSuperligaGK545023%000.000.00130712310.45
2020/21Aalborg BKSuperligaGK1452%000.000.00111212410.43

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Oddset PokalenFC Nordsjaelland439000—
2024/25Oddset PokalenFC Nordsjaelland19000—
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingFC Nordsjaelland4360001440
2023/24Oddset PokalenFC Nordsjaelland327000—
2022/23Oddset PokalenFC Nordsjaelland436000—
2021/22Oddset PokalenAalborg BK330000—
2020/21Oddset PokalenAalborg BK218000—
2019/20Oddset PokalenAalborg BK654000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Janis Blaswich
Eredivisie · 2021
30€800k€2.5Mrose
Sammy Bossut
Jupiler Pro League · 2016
31€1.5M€800kfell
Benjamin Siegrist
Scottish Premiership · 2022
30€800k€500kfell
Andreas Gianniotis
Super Lig · 2024
32€500k€300kfell
Patrik Carlgren
Superliga · 2023
31€1.0M€600kfell
Markos Vellidis
Super League 1 · 2018
31€750k€325kfell
Alan Mannus
Scottish Premiership · 2014
32€500k€450kflat
Sten Grytebust
Superliga · 2019
30€1.0M€700kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2022Aalborg BKNordsjaelland€1.1M€300k
30 Jun 2022NordsjaellandAalborg BKFree / loan€300k
27 Jan 2022Aalborg BKNordsjaellandFree / loan€300k
1 Jul 2019HB KögeAalborg BKFree / loan€250k
1 Jul 2016Bröndby IFHB KögeFree / loan€50k
1 Jul 2014Bröndby IF U19Bröndby IFUnknown€50k
1 Jul 2012Bröndby IF U17Bröndby IF U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.