
Andreas Hansen
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Andreas Hansen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 61
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 30.7th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €522k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -42% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1530 (77% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 31 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1315
- Opponent strength
- 1263
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €381k – €765k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 23 pts; league level up (+45 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -42% to -25%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1530 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 67 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 71%–125%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 67%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | GK | 17 | 1530 | 77% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1263 | 1314 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | GK | 22 | 1980 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1292 | 1341 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | GK | 19 | 1680 | 85% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 1269 | 1444 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | GK | 22 | 1980 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1295 | 1352 | 0.47 |
| 2021/22 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | GK | 5 | 450 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1307 | 1231 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | Aalborg BK | Superliga | GK | 1 | 45 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1112 | 1241 | 0.43 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Nordsjaelland | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1440 |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | Aalborg BK | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Oddset Pokalen | Aalborg BK | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Oddset Pokalen | Aalborg BK | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janis Blaswich Eredivisie · 2021 | 30 | €800k | €2.5M | rose |
| Sammy Bossut Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 31 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Benjamin Siegrist Scottish Premiership · 2022 | 30 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Andreas Gianniotis Super Lig · 2024 | 32 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Patrik Carlgren Superliga · 2023 | 31 | €1.0M | €600k | fell |
| Markos Vellidis Super League 1 · 2018 | 31 | €750k | €325k | fell |
| Alan Mannus Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 32 | €500k | €450k | flat |
| Sten Grytebust Superliga · 2019 | 30 | €1.0M | €700k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2022 | Aalborg BK | Nordsjaelland | €1.1M | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Nordsjaelland | Aalborg BK | Free / loan | €300k |
| 27 Jan 2022 | Aalborg BK | Nordsjaelland | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | HB Köge | Aalborg BK | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Bröndby IF | HB Köge | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Bröndby IF U19 | Bröndby IF | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Bröndby IF U17 | Bröndby IF U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.