
Yevgen Volynets
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yevgen Volynets's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 19
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 43.4th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €430k vs market €750k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -56% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2160 (80% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 43 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1290
- Opponent strength
- 1158
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €156k – €513k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -65% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | Premier Liga | GK | 24 | 2160 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1158 | 1290 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | Premier Liga | GK | 22 | 1972 | 73% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1199 | 1236 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | SC Dnipro-1 | Premier Liga | GK | 22 | 1980 | 73% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1261 | 1335 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | GK | 29 | 2610 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1277 | 1191 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | GK | 10 | 900 | 56% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1266 | 1276 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | GK | 20 | 1800 | 77% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1313 | 1336 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | GK | 16 | 1440 | 73% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1344 | 1229 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1391 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1348 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | SC Dnipro-1 | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | SC Dnipro-1 | 1 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1434 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1376 |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1410 |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibrahim Sehic Super Lig · 2021 | 33 | €900k | €1.2M | rose |
| Kelle Roos Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 31 | €600k | €300k | fell |
| Julián Cuesta Super League 1 · 2023 | 32 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Munir El Kajoui Super Lig · 2021 | 32 | €1.2M | €1.0M | flat |
| Mykyta Shevchenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 31 | €400k | €150k | fell |
| Emiliano Viviano Super Lig · 2021 | 36 | €350k | €100k | fell |
| Ruud Boffin Super Lig · 2021 | 34 | €425k | €375k | flat |
| Andriy Klishchuk Premier Liga · 2024 | 32 | €500k | €150k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | SC Dnipro-1 | Polissya | Free / loan | €800k |
| 14 Jul 2023 | Kolos Kovalivka | SC Dnipro-1 | €400k | €700k |
| 6 Jul 2017 | Gelios Kharkiv | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | €75k |
| 18 Jul 2016 | Dynamo-2 Kyiv | Gelios Kharkiv | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Feb 2010 | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Dynamo-2 Kyiv | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.