Denys Miroshnichenko
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Denys Miroshnichenko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 72
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 35.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €120k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -39% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1787 (66% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.35
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.29
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 35 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1213
- Opponent strength
- 1159
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €117k – €371k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 17 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -44% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1787 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Karpaty Lviv | Premier Liga | LB | 24 | 1787 | 66% | 1 | 6 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 1159 | 1213 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Karpaty Lviv | Premier Liga | LB | 25 | 2245 | 83% | 1 | 4 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 1222 | 1185 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | SC Dnipro-1 | Premier Liga | LB | 24 | 1580 | 59% | 1 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 1254 | 1335 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | RB | 29 | 2479 | 92% | 4 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 1275 | 1284 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | RB | 18 | 1620 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 1319 | 1297 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | LB | 15 | 1040 | 44% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1293 | 1285 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | LB | 17 | 1488 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1329 | 1356 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | Premier Liga | RB | 15 | 1178 | 59% | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.13 | 1324 | 1262 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | Premier Liga | RB | 20 | 1470 | 74% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 1357 | 1265 | 0.62 |
| 2016/17 | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | Premier Liga | RB | 26 | 1686 | 59% | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 1344 | 1257 | 0.56 |
| 2015/16 | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | Premier Liga | RB | 23 | 1999 | 85% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 1362 | 1264 | 0.54 |
| 2014/15 | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | Premier Liga | RB | 26 | 2289 | 98% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1382 | 1255 | 0.54 |
| 2013/14 | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | Premier Liga | RB | 9 | 621 | 24% | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 1374 | 1306 | 0.63 |
| 2012/13 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | RB | 9 | 308 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1388 | 1330 | 0.70 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Karpaty Lviv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Karpaty Lviv | 2 | 104 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | SC Dnipro-1 | 2 | 209 | 0 | 0 | 1463 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | SC Dnipro-1 | 2 | 180 | 0 | 2 | 1424 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | SC Dnipro-1 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 2 | 76 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | FC Oleksandriya | 6 | 540 | 1 | 0 | 1523 |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 2 | 240 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Ukrainian Cup | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Ukrainian Cup | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Ukrainian Cup | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Ukrainian Cup | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Ukrainian Cup | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Ukrainian Cup | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veysel Sarı Super Lig · 2021 | 33 | €550k | €500k | flat |
| Andriy Tsurikov Premier Liga · 2024 | 32 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Oleksandr Chornomorets Premier Liga · 2024 | 31 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Joe Wright Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 29 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| Rodrigo Erramuspe Super League 1 · 2021 | 31 | €300k | €500k | rose |
| Berkan Emir Super Lig · 2021 | 33 | €400k | €50k | fell |
| Mattias Johansson Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Pichu Atienza Super League 1 · 2023 | 33 | €300k | €175k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2024 | SC Dnipro-1 | Karpaty Lviv | €500k | €900k |
| 3 Jul 2023 | FC Oleksandriya | SC Dnipro-1 | €230k | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Karpaty Lviv | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €700k |
| 8 Jul 2013 | Kryvbas | Karpaty Lviv | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Feb 2013 | Kryvbas II | Kryvbas | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 31 Dec 2012 | Dnipro II | Kryvbas II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Kryvbas II | Dnipro II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2011 | Kryvbas U17 | Kryvbas II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.