Domenico Berardi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Domenico Berardi's performance-implied value at EUR 1.5M-7.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.4M-7.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-4.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.81x the positional average in the league (1971 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 4
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 73.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €5.0M vs market €7.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -60% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1971 (58% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.59
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.71
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 73 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1406
- Opponent strength
- 1494
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.6M – €4.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -67% (IQR -75% to -39%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | RW | 26 | 1971 | 58% | 8 | 5 | 0.59 | 0.71 | 1494 | 1405 | 0.93 |
| 2023/24 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | RW | 17 | 1437 | 42% | 9 | 3 | 0.75 | 0.71 | 1485 | 1330 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | RW | 26 | 1872 | 55% | 12 | 7 | 0.91 | 0.83 | 1470 | 1420 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | RW | 33 | 2836 | 83% | 15 | 17 | 1.02 | 0.80 | 1479 | 1464 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | RW | 30 | 2485 | 73% | 17 | 8 | 0.91 | 0.66 | 1440 | 1502 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | RW | 31 | 2502 | 73% | 14 | 10 | 0.86 | 0.79 | 1426 | 1428 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | RW | 35 | 2880 | 84% | 8 | 3 | 0.34 | 0.51 | 1461 | 1351 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | RW | 31 | 2309 | 68% | 4 | 2 | 0.23 | 0.34 | 1458 | 1377 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | RW | 21 | 1738 | 51% | 5 | 10 | 0.78 | 0.62 | 1466 | 1435 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | RW | 29 | 2181 | 64% | 7 | 6 | 0.54 | 0.56 | 1467 | 1514 | 0.95 |
| 2014/15 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | RW | 32 | 2679 | 78% | 15 | 11 | 0.87 | 0.77 | 1471 | 1410 | 0.93 |
| 2013/14 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | RW | 29 | 2185 | 64% | 16 | 6 | 0.91 | 0.94 | 1480 | 1334 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 1 | 44 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 1 | 59 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 2 | 180 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 2 | 115 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | US Sassuolo | 4 | 304 | 5 | 1 | 1362 |
| 2015/16 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2014/15 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 2 | 83 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2013/14 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Islam Slimani Ligue 1 · 2020 | 32 | €6.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Pere Milla Laliga · 2022 | 30 | €3.0M | €2.4M | fell |
| Gervinho Serie A · 2019 | 32 | €9.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Mateus Liga Portugal · 2013 | 29 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Sylvain Marveaux Ligue 1 · 2017 | 31 | €2.0M | €500k | fell |
| Diego Farias Serie A · 2019 | 29 | €4.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Alexander Meier Bundesliga · 2015 | 32 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Nicolai Müller Bundesliga · 2017 | 30 | €4.5M | €1.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2015 | Juventus | Sassuolo | €10.0M | €17.5M |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Sassuolo | Juventus | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 1 Sept 2013 | Juventus | Sassuolo | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 1 Sept 2013 | Sassuolo | Juventus | €4.5M | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Sassuolo U20 | Sassuolo | Unknown | €75k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Sassuolo U17 | Sassuolo U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Cosenza Yth. | Sassuolo U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.