Valentino Lazaro

30 yrs · Right midfielder (also LM, RB) · Austria
Torino FC · Serie A · Foot: right · Height: 181 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€2.5M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€753k – €3.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.7M – €5.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€840k – €2.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€247k – €5.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€753k – €3.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.7M – €5.9M
Projected value (24 months)€840k – €2.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Valentino Lazaro's performance-implied value at EUR 2.7M-5.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-3.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.74x the positional average in the league (2260 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 21

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average71.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.3 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.7M vs market €2.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-48% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €19.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2260 (66% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.08
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.16
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
71 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1419
Opponent strength
1520
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€840k – €2.0M

Trajectory drivers: relative output down 42% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -54% (IQR -69% to -32%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Torino FCSerie ARM31226066%020.080.16152014190.93
2024/25Torino FCSerie ARM33231968%070.270.28152114580.99
2023/24Torino FCSerie ALM35198858%040.180.22148815100.98
2022/23Torino FCSerie ARM23137640%030.200.25149514680.94
2021/22SL BenficaLiga PortugalRM1897932%020.180.15134616560.67
2020/21Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaRM22123740%200.150.15152615811.06
2019/20Newcastle UnitedPremier LeagueRM1347414%100.190.33165314761.14
2019/20Inter MilanSerie ARM63239%010.280.21133916570.82
2018/19Hertha BSCBundesligaRB31274390%370.330.22152314721.05
2017/18Hertha BSCBundesligaRM26185961%250.340.29150014681.04

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Italy CupTorino FC415700—
2024/25Italy CupTorino FC218000—
2023/24Italy CupTorino FC15300—
2022/23Italy CupTorino FC22501—
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueSL Benfica6115001655
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueBorussia Mönchengladbach5246011685
2020/21Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach12200—
2019/20Fa CupNewcastle United210510—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueInter Milan4100011626
2019/20Italy CupInter Milan19000—
2018/19Dfb PokalHertha BSC330000—
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueHertha BSC4338011490
2017/18Uefa Champions League QualifyingFußballclub Red Bull Salzburg2159011187
2017/18Dfb PokalHertha BSC19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Hassane Kamara
Serie A · 2024
30€4.5M€3.0Mfell
Omar Mascarell
Laliga · 2023
30€3.0M€900kfell
Mariano Izco
Serie A · 2015
32€2.6M€500kfell
Marvin Bakalorz
Bundesliga · 2018
29€2.5M€800kfell
Bekir Ozan Has
Super Lig · 2013
28€1.4M€600kfell
Rémi Gomis
Ligue 1 · 2013
29€2.0M€1.0Mfell
Óscar Trejo
Ligue 1 · 2017
29€2.5M€2.0Mfell
Filippo Bandinelli
Serie A · 2023
28€3.5M€2.5Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026TorinoWithout ClubUnknown€2.5M
23 Aug 2023InterTorino€3.4M€5.0M
30 Jun 2023TorinoInterFree / loan€5.0M
1 Aug 2022InterTorinoFree / loan€6.0M
30 Jun 2022BenficaInterFree / loan€6.0M
31 Aug 2021InterBenficaFree / loan€10.0M
30 Jun 2021MönchengladbachInterFree / loan€10.0M
20 Aug 2020InterMönchengladbachFree / loan€15.0M
31 Jul 2020NewcastleInterFree / loan€15.0M
24 Jan 2020InterNewcastleFree / loan€19.0M
1 Jul 2019Hertha BSCInter€22.4M€17.0M
1 Jul 2018SalzburgHertha BSC€10.5M€9.0M
30 Jun 2018Hertha BSCSalzburgFree / loan€9.0M
3 Aug 2017SalzburgHertha BSCFree / loan€3.0M
1 Jul 2012AKA Salzb. U18SalzburgUnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2012AKA Salzb. U16AKA Salzb. U18UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011AKA Salzb. U15AKA Salzb. U16UnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2011GAK YouthAKA Salzb. U15€6kData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.