Hassane Kamara

32 yrs · Left-back (also LM) · Cote d'Ivoire
Udinese Calcio · Serie A · Foot: left · Height: 170 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€3.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€849k – €2.5M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.1M – €2.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€791k – €2.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.4M – €1.6M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€849k – €2.5M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €2.4M
Projected value (24 months)€791k – €2.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Hassane Kamara's performance-implied value at EUR 1.1M-2.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.88x the positional average in the league (1869 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 19

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average66.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.1M vs market €3.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-62% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €8.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1869 (55% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.20
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
66 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1442
Opponent strength
1508
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€791k – €2.0M

Trajectory drivers: relative output down 25% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -63% (IQR -76% to -56%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Udinese CalcioSerie ALM26186955%020.100.20150814420.93
2024/25Udinese CalcioSerie ALM30200759%140.220.26148513890.99
2023/24Udinese CalcioSerie ALM35223865%110.080.15147614200.98
2021/22Watford FCPremier LeagueLB19162648%100.060.14157313291.17
2021/22OGC NiceLigue 1LB1154516%000.000.08135714930.86
2020/21OGC NiceLigue 1LB36296687%210.090.11144113980.75
2019/20Stade ReimsLigue 1LB23170568%200.110.14143114510.82
2018/19Stade ReimsLigue 1LB1689926%000.000.08144314210.82
2015/16Stade ReimsLigue 1LB2301%000.000.14137413330.78

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Italy CupUdinese Calcio19000—
2024/25Italy CupUdinese Calcio218000—
2023/24Italy CupUdinese Calcio29000—
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueOGC Nice2180001554

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Tolgay Arslan
Serie A · 2022
32€2.3M€1.0Mfell
Sergio Almirón
Serie A · 2013
33€1.8M€100kfell
Álex Fernández
Laliga · 2023
31€4.0M€1.5Mfell
Yannick Gerhardt
Bundesliga · 2024
30€4.0M€1.8Mfell
Emil Hallfredsson
Serie A · 2016
32€2.0M€600kfell
Halil Altintop
Super Lig · 2013
31€3.0M€2.0Mfell
Rafael van der Vaart
Bundesliga · 2015
32€3.0M€350kfell
Leonardo Bittencourt
Bundesliga · 2024
31€2.5M€900kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2023WatfordUdineseFree / loan€8.0M
23 Aug 2022UdineseWatfordFree / loan€4.0M
22 Aug 2022WatfordUdinese€19.0M€4.0M
4 Jan 2022NiceWatford€4.0M€6.0M
1 Jul 2020Stade ReimsNice€4.0M€4.8M
30 Jun 2017US Créteil-LStade ReimsFree / loan€300k
25 Jan 2017Stade ReimsUS Créteil-LFree / loan€300k
27 Aug 2015LB ChâteaurouxStade ReimsFree / loan€300k
1 Jul 2014Châteauroux BLB ChâteaurouxUnknownData unavailable
1 Aug 2012Toulouse U19Châteauroux BFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Toulouse For.Toulouse U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2007ASJA JugendToulouse For.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Hassane Kamara · MoneyballAI