
Hassane Kamara
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Hassane Kamara's performance-implied value at EUR 1.1M-2.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.88x the positional average in the league (1869 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 19
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 66.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.1M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -62% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1869 (55% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.20
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 66 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1442
- Opponent strength
- 1508
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €791k – €2.0M
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 25% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -63% (IQR -76% to -56%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | LM | 26 | 1869 | 55% | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 1508 | 1442 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | LM | 30 | 2007 | 59% | 1 | 4 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 1485 | 1389 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | LM | 35 | 2238 | 65% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 1476 | 1420 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Watford FC | Premier League | LB | 19 | 1626 | 48% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.14 | 1573 | 1329 | 1.17 |
| 2021/22 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | LB | 11 | 545 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1357 | 1493 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | LB | 36 | 2966 | 87% | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 1441 | 1398 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | LB | 23 | 1705 | 68% | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 1431 | 1451 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | LB | 16 | 899 | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1443 | 1421 | 0.82 |
| 2015/16 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | LB | 2 | 30 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1374 | 1333 | 0.78 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | OGC Nice | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1554 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolgay Arslan Serie A · 2022 | 32 | €2.3M | €1.0M | fell |
| Sergio Almirón Serie A · 2013 | 33 | €1.8M | €100k | fell |
| Álex Fernández Laliga · 2023 | 31 | €4.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Yannick Gerhardt Bundesliga · 2024 | 30 | €4.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Emil Hallfredsson Serie A · 2016 | 32 | €2.0M | €600k | fell |
| Halil Altintop Super Lig · 2013 | 31 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Rafael van der Vaart Bundesliga · 2015 | 32 | €3.0M | €350k | fell |
| Leonardo Bittencourt Bundesliga · 2024 | 31 | €2.5M | €900k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2023 | Watford | Udinese | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 23 Aug 2022 | Udinese | Watford | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 22 Aug 2022 | Watford | Udinese | €19.0M | €4.0M |
| 4 Jan 2022 | Nice | Watford | €4.0M | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Stade Reims | Nice | €4.0M | €4.8M |
| 30 Jun 2017 | US Créteil-L | Stade Reims | Free / loan | €300k |
| 25 Jan 2017 | Stade Reims | US Créteil-L | Free / loan | €300k |
| 27 Aug 2015 | LB Châteauroux | Stade Reims | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Châteauroux B | LB Châteauroux | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2012 | Toulouse U19 | Châteauroux B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Toulouse For. | Toulouse U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | ASJA Jugend | Toulouse For. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.