
Taxiarchis Fountas
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Taxiarchis Fountas's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.31x the positional average in the league (1371 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 21
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 22.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €883k vs market €1.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -61% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1371 (59% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.46
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.52
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 22 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1225
- Opponent strength
- 1234
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €453k – €1.2M
Trajectory drivers: league level up (+40 Elo); role change AM -> RW.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -51% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1371 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | RW | 21 | 1371 | 59% | 7 | 0 | 0.46 | 0.52 | 1234 | 1225 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | AM | 22 | 1541 | 66% | 6 | 1 | 0.41 | 0.53 | 1275 | 1196 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | LW | 29 | 1133 | 33% | 2 | 1 | 0.24 | 0.27 | 1287 | 1379 | 0.45 |
| 2016/17 | Panionios Athens | Super League 1 | LW | 19 | 1322 | 49% | 2 | 4 | 0.41 | 0.45 | 1308 | 1334 | 0.44 |
| 2015/16 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | SS | 16 | 701 | 26% | 1 | 2 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 1261 | 1291 | 0.46 |
| 2014/15 | Panionios Athens | Super League 1 | RW | 26 | 1682 | 55% | 4 | 3 | 0.37 | 0.45 | 1297 | 1273 | 0.44 |
| 2012/13 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | LW | 27 | 2011 | 74% | 4 | 1 | 0.22 | 0.43 | 1348 | 1255 | 0.57 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | 6 | 350 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | 7 | 524 | 3 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | Panionios Athens | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Kypello Elladas | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 4 | 216 | 3 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 4 | 191 | 0 | 0 | 1517 |
| 2014/15 | Kypello Elladas | Panionios Athens | 7 | 488 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emrah Başsan Super Lig · 2022 | 30 | €1.5M | €700k | fell |
| Mario Balotelli Super Lig · 2022 | 32 | €2.8M | €650k | fell |
| Mame Thiam Super Lig · 2023 | 31 | €2.4M | €1.7M | fell |
| Guilherme Super Lig · 2020 | 29 | €3.2M | €2.0M | fell |
| Pedro Conde Super League 1 · 2017 | 29 | €900k | €1.3M | rose |
| Mario Gavranovic Super Lig · 2022 | 33 | €1.5M | €750k | fell |
| Pablo Mazza Super League 1 · 2017 | 30 | €750k | €750k | flat |
| Bernard Berisha Premier Liga · 2024 | 33 | €900k | €900k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2024 | Trabzonspor | OFI Crete | Free / loan | €3.7M |
| 17 Aug 2023 | D.C. United | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 21 Mar 2022 | Rapid Vienna | D.C. United | €364k | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | SKN St. Pölten | Rapid Vienna | Free / loan | €500k |
| 13 Jul 2018 | Sonnenhof-Gr. | SKN St. Pölten | Free / loan | €350k |
| 20 Sept 2017 | Without Club | Sonnenhof-Gr. | Unknown | €750k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Salzburg | Without Club | Unknown | €750k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Panionios | Salzburg | Free / loan | €750k |
| 21 Jul 2016 | Salzburg | Panionios | Free / loan | €750k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Asteras Tripoli | Salzburg | Free / loan | €750k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Salzburg | Asteras Tripoli | Free / loan | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Panionios | Salzburg | Free / loan | €600k |
| 20 Aug 2014 | Salzburg | Panionios | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2014 | Grödig | Salzburg | Free / loan | €500k |
| 31 Jan 2014 | Salzburg | Grödig | Free / loan | €500k |
| 22 Jul 2013 | AEK Athens | Salzburg | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Ach. Neochoriou | AEK Athens | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.