Taxiarchis Fountas

31 yrs · Left winger (also AM, RW, SS) · Greece
Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 170 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€1.8M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€515k – €1.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€409k – €823k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€453k – €1.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.3M – €308k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€515k – €1.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€409k – €823k
Projected value (24 months)€453k – €1.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Taxiarchis Fountas's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.31x the positional average in the league (1371 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 21

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average22.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.8 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €883k vs market €1.8M
Expected appreciationVery low-61% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1371 (59% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.46
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.52
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
22 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1225
Opponent strength
1234
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€453k – €1.2M

Trajectory drivers: league level up (+40 Elo); role change AM -> RW.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -51% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1371 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
19 (ATT)
Relative output kept
99%–112%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
47%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FCSuper League 1RW21137159%700.460.52123412250.43
2024/25Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FCSuper League 1AM22154166%610.410.53127511960.35
2023/24TrabzonsporSuper LigLW29113333%210.240.27128713790.45
2016/17Panionios AthensSuper League 1LW19132249%240.410.45130813340.44
2015/16A.G.S Asteras TripolisSuper League 1SS1670126%120.390.39126112910.46
2014/15Panionios AthensSuper League 1RW26168255%430.370.45129712730.44
2012/13Athlitiki Enosi KonstantinoupoleosSuper League 1LW27201174%410.220.43134812550.57

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasOmilos Filathlon Irakliou FC635010—
2024/25Kypello ElladasOmilos Filathlon Irakliou FC752430—
2016/17Kypello ElladasPanionios Athens19000—
2015/16Kypello ElladasA.G.S Asteras Tripolis421630—
2015/16Uefa Europa LeagueA.G.S Asteras Tripolis4191001517
2014/15Kypello ElladasPanionios Athens748801—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Emrah Başsan
Super Lig · 2022
30€1.5M€700kfell
Mario Balotelli
Super Lig · 2022
32€2.8M€650kfell
Mame Thiam
Super Lig · 2023
31€2.4M€1.7Mfell
Guilherme
Super Lig · 2020
29€3.2M€2.0Mfell
Pedro Conde
Super League 1 · 2017
29€900k€1.3Mrose
Mario Gavranovic
Super Lig · 2022
33€1.5M€750kfell
Pablo Mazza
Super League 1 · 2017
30€750k€750kflat
Bernard Berisha
Premier Liga · 2024
33€900k€900kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
29 Aug 2024TrabzonsporOFI CreteFree / loan€3.7M
17 Aug 2023D.C. UnitedTrabzonsporFree / loan€5.0M
21 Mar 2022Rapid ViennaD.C. United€364k€3.0M
1 Jul 2019SKN St. PöltenRapid ViennaFree / loan€500k
13 Jul 2018Sonnenhof-Gr.SKN St. PöltenFree / loan€350k
20 Sept 2017Without ClubSonnenhof-Gr.Unknown€750k
1 Jul 2017SalzburgWithout ClubUnknown€750k
30 Jun 2017PanioniosSalzburgFree / loan€750k
21 Jul 2016SalzburgPanioniosFree / loan€750k
30 Jun 2016Asteras TripoliSalzburgFree / loan€750k
1 Jul 2015SalzburgAsteras TripoliFree / loan€600k
30 Jun 2015PanioniosSalzburgFree / loan€600k
20 Aug 2014SalzburgPanioniosFree / loan€500k
30 Jun 2014GrödigSalzburgFree / loan€500k
31 Jan 2014SalzburgGrödigFree / loan€500k
22 Jul 2013AEK AthensSalzburgFree / loan€800k
1 Jul 2011Ach. NeochoriouAEK AthensFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.