Vladyslav Kabaev
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Vladyslav Kabaev's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.50x the positional average in the league (752 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 31.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.2M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -61% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 752 (28% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.12
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.20
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 31 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1324
- Opponent strength
- 1176
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €544k – €1.7M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 50 pts; team strength down (-82 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -30% (IQR -66% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 752 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 94%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | LW | 13 | 752 | 28% | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.20 | 1176 | 1324 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | LW | 30 | 2094 | 78% | 2 | 4 | 0.26 | 0.21 | 1193 | 1406 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | LM | 25 | 1685 | 62% | 5 | 2 | 0.37 | 0.23 | 1249 | 1458 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | LM | 21 | 1269 | 47% | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.18 | 1270 | 1433 | 0.38 |
| 2022/23 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | LM | 1 | 86 | 3% | 0 | 2 | 2.09 | 0.37 | 1309 | 1406 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | AM | 11 | 749 | 46% | 1 | 1 | 0.24 | 0.30 | 1255 | 1426 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | AM | 21 | 1490 | 64% | 0 | 7 | 0.42 | 0.27 | 1291 | 1450 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | LM | 19 | 1301 | 66% | 6 | 2 | 0.55 | 0.31 | 1342 | 1463 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | LM | 14 | 854 | 43% | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 1371 | 1429 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | LM | 12 | 455 | 23% | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.26 | 1346 | 1423 | 0.62 |
| 2016/17 | Chornomorets Odesa | Premier Liga | LM | 25 | 1573 | 55% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 1398 | 1254 | 0.56 |
| 2015/16 | Chornomorets Odesa | Premier Liga | LM | 18 | 1114 | 48% | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.27 | 1326 | 1228 | 0.54 |
| 2014/15 | Chornomorets Odesa | Premier Liga | AM | 9 | 460 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 1453 | 1254 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 226 | 0 | 0 | 1371 |
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 135 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1525 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 8 | 471 | 1 | 0 | 1511 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 424 | 1 | 1 | 1545 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 223 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1319 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 387 | 0 | 0 | 1506 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 131 | 0 | 0 | 1363 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 1455 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Zorya Lugansk | 6 | 459 | 1 | 0 | 1535 |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 4 | 366 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 4 | 129 | 0 | 1 | 1509 |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 4 | 151 | 0 | 0 | 1555 |
| 2018/19 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 3 | 104 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 1543 |
| 2016/17 | Ukrainian Cup | Chornomorets Odesa | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Ukrainian Cup | Chornomorets Odesa | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Chornomorets Odesa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1431 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viv Solomon-Otabor Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €750k | €750k | flat |
| Sergio Araujo Super League 1 · 2024 | 32 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Ally Samatta Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €4.2M | €2.5M | fell |
| Andreas Cornelius Superliga · 2023 | 30 | €2.5M | €500k | fell |
| Marko Livaja Super League 1 · 2021 | 28 | €3.5M | €8.0M | rose |
| Amilton Super Lig · 2022 | 33 | €750k | €300k | fell |
| Dever Orgill Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €575k | €50k | fell |
| Aboubakar Kamara Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2022 | Zorya Lugansk | Dynamo Kyiv | €1.2M | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Chornomorets | Zorya Lugansk | €150k | €500k |
| 1 Jan 2015 | Chornomorets II | Chornomorets | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | C. Odessa U17 | Chornomorets II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.