
Álex Remiro
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Álex Remiro's performance-implied value at EUR 4.1M-12.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.2M-8.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.9M-5.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 44
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 86.8th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €4.3M vs market €9.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -53% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3330 (97% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 87 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1462
- Opponent strength
- 1485
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.9M – €5.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -52% (IQR -63% to -49%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | GK | 37 | 3330 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1485 | 1462 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | GK | 36 | 3240 | 95% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1499 | 1464 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | GK | 37 | 3276 | 96% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1476 | 1588 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1511 | 1604 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | GK | 35 | 3150 | 92% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1534 | 1559 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1560 | 1573 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | GK | 25 | 2250 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1529 | 1567 | 1.16 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 9 | 810 | 0 | 0 | 1535 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Real Sociedad | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | 1715 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | 1538 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1492 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1619 |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Supercopa | Real Sociedad | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1781 |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 7 | 630 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Soria Laliga · 2023 | 30 | €8.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Andrea Consigli Serie A · 2017 | 30 | €8.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Joe Hart Serie A · 2017 | 30 | €13.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Conan Ledesma Laliga · 2023 | 30 | €8.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Lukasz Fabianski Premier League · 2017 | 32 | €9.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Matz Sels Ligue 1 · 2024 | 32 | €7.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Benoît Costil Ligue 1 · 2018 | 31 | €6.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Marco Silvestri Serie A · 2023 | 32 | €5.0M | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2019 | Athletic Club | Real Sociedad | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | SD Huesca | Athletic Club | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 21 Jul 2017 | Athletic Club | SD Huesca | Free / loan | €600k |
| 30 Jan 2017 | Levante | Athletic Club | Free / loan | €800k |
| 2 Jul 2016 | Athletic Club | Levante | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Bilbao Athletic | Athletic Club | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2014 | CD Basconia | Bilbao Athletic | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Bilbao U19 | CD Basconia | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Bilbao U18 | Bilbao U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Bilbao Youth | Bilbao U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.