Álex Remiro

31 yrs · Goalkeeper · Spain
Real Sociedad · Laliga · Foot: right · Height: 192 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€9.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€3.2M – €8.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€4.1M – €12.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.9M – €5.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€4.3M – €9.0M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.2M – €8.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€4.1M – €12.2M
Projected value (24 months)€2.9M – €5.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€9.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Álex Remiro's performance-implied value at EUR 4.1M-12.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.2M-8.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.9M-5.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 44

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh86.8th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €4.3M vs market €9.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-53% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €25.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
3330 (97% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.00
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
87 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1462
Opponent strength
1485
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.9M – €5.9M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -52% (IQR -63% to -49%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Real SociedadLaligaGK37333097%000.000.00148514620.95
2024/25Real SociedadLaligaGK36324095%000.000.00149914640.95
2023/24Real SociedadLaligaGK37327696%000.000.00147615881.00
2022/23Real SociedadLaligaGK383420100%000.000.00151116040.98
2021/22Real SociedadLaligaGK35315092%000.000.00153415591.05
2020/21Real SociedadLaligaGK383420100%000.000.00156015731.10
2019/20Real SociedadLaligaGK25225066%000.000.00152915671.16

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Copa Del ReyReal Sociedad218000—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueReal Sociedad9810001535
2024/25Copa Del ReyReal Sociedad439000—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueReal Sociedad8720001715
2023/24Copa Del ReyReal Sociedad439000—
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueReal Sociedad8720001538
2022/23Copa Del ReyReal Sociedad436000—
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueReal Sociedad5450001492
2021/22Copa Del ReyReal Sociedad218000—
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueReal Sociedad6540001619
2020/21Copa Del ReyReal Sociedad221000—
2020/21SupercopaReal Sociedad1120001781
2019/20Copa Del ReyReal Sociedad763000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
David Soria
Laliga · 2023
30€8.0M€3.0Mfell
Andrea Consigli
Serie A · 2017
30€8.0M€4.0Mfell
Joe Hart
Serie A · 2017
30€13.0M€6.0Mfell
Conan Ledesma
Laliga · 2023
30€8.0M€3.0Mfell
Lukasz Fabianski
Premier League · 2017
32€9.0M€5.0Mfell
Matz Sels
Ligue 1 · 2024
32€7.0M€3.5Mfell
Benoît Costil
Ligue 1 · 2018
31€6.5M€4.0Mfell
Marco Silvestri
Serie A · 2023
32€5.0M€500kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2019Athletic ClubReal SociedadFree / loan€1.5M
30 Jun 2018SD HuescaAthletic ClubFree / loan€1.5M
21 Jul 2017Athletic ClubSD HuescaFree / loan€600k
30 Jan 2017LevanteAthletic ClubFree / loan€800k
2 Jul 2016Athletic ClubLevanteFree / loan€1.0M
1 Jul 2016Bilbao AthleticAthletic ClubUnknown€1.0M
1 Jul 2014CD BasconiaBilbao AthleticUnknown€200k
1 Jul 2013Bilbao U19CD BasconiaUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Bilbao U18Bilbao U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Bilbao YouthBilbao U18UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.