
Mykyta Burda
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mykyta Burda's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 75
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 19.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €121k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -36% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1385 (51% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 20 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1200
- Opponent strength
- 1150
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €104k – €358k
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 27% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -61% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1385 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | CB | 17 | 1385 | 51% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1150 | 1200 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | CB | 14 | 1176 | 44% | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 1206 | 1186 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | CB | 28 | 2500 | 93% | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 1262 | 1143 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | CB | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1195 | 1433 | 0.38 |
| 2019/20 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | CB | 7 | 593 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1356 | 1497 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | CB | 18 | 1620 | 82% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 1327 | 1528 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | CB | 2 | 157 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1303 | 1547 | 0.62 |
| 2016/17 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | CB | 5 | 432 | 15% | 1 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.08 | 1394 | 1566 | 0.56 |
| 2014/15 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | CB | 5 | 405 | 17% | 1 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.08 | 1412 | 1573 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1450 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 172 | 0 | 0 | 1570 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 10 | 900 | 0 | 0 | 1509 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 345 | 0 | 0 | 1510 |
| 2018/19 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1600 |
| 2017/18 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1612 |
| 2015/16 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 112 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 464 | 0 | 0 | 1428 |
| 2014/15 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denys Balan Premier Liga · 2024 | 31 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Hugo Sousa Super League 1 · 2023 | 31 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Branko Vrgoc Super League 1 · 2022 | 33 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Juha Pirinen Super League 1 · 2023 | 32 | €300k | €250k | flat |
| Hasan Hatipoglu Super Lig · 2021 | 32 | €200k | €75k | fell |
| Ponck Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €900k | €800k | flat |
| Atila Turan Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €500k | €175k | fell |
| Oleksandr Kapliyenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €500k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Dynamo Kyiv | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Zorya Lugansk | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Mar 2023 | Dynamo Kyiv | Zorya Lugansk | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jan 2015 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Dynamo Kyiv | Unknown | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Feb 2013 | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2011 | RVUFK Kyiv | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.