Konrad Laimer
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Konrad Laimer's performance-implied value at EUR 22.9M-37.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.4M-25.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 11.6M-21.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 42
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 98.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €13.9M vs market €32.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -54% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1997 (65% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.54
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.16
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 98 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1871
- Opponent strength
- 1472
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €11.6M – €21.5M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+99 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -54% (IQR -66% to -36%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | RB | 29 | 1997 | 65% | 3 | 9 | 0.54 | 0.16 | 1472 | 1871 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | RB | 29 | 1697 | 55% | 2 | 3 | 0.27 | 0.14 | 1499 | 1772 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | CM | 29 | 1769 | 58% | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 0.09 | 1493 | 1715 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | CM | 21 | 1474 | 48% | 3 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 1551 | 1685 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | CM | 26 | 1242 | 41% | 4 | 4 | 0.58 | 0.34 | 1542 | 1663 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | CM | 3 | 82 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1607 | 1657 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | CM | 29 | 2122 | 69% | 2 | 6 | 0.34 | 0.20 | 1526 | 1700 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | LM | 29 | 1877 | 61% | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 1522 | 1650 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | CM | 22 | 1332 | 44% | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 1529 | 1570 | 1.04 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Bayern Munich | 11 | 854 | 0 | 4 | 1736 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Bayern Munich | 5 | 284 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Austria | 3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Bayern Munich | 1 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1531 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Bayern Munich | 11 | 780 | 1 | 1 | 1672 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | Bayern Munich | 2 | 163 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Bayern Munich | 11 | 771 | 0 | 1 | 1696 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | Bayern Munich | 2 | 128 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Bayern Munich | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1685 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 4 | 355 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | RB Leipzig | 3 | 262 | 0 | 0 | 1758 |
| 2022/23 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | RB Leipzig | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1847 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | RB Leipzig | 6 | 471 | 0 | 1 | 1616 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | RB Leipzig | 6 | 405 | 0 | 1 | 1720 |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 5 | 317 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | RB Leipzig | 10 | 717 | 1 | 1 | 1652 |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 3 | 222 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | RB Leipzig | 6 | 540 | 1 | 1 | 1551 |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 6 | 381 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | RB Leipzig | 2 | 159 | 0 | 0 | 1422 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | RB Leipzig | 4 | 299 | 0 | 0 | 1701 |
| 2017/18 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 2 | 60 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | RB Leipzig | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1662 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Sandro Serie A · 2017 | 26 | €35.0M | €45.0M | rose |
| Marcelo Laliga · 2018 | 30 | €60.0M | €16.0M | fell |
| Sergio Ramos Laliga · 2017 | 31 | €40.0M | €25.0M | fell |
| Dani Alves Laliga · 2013 | 30 | €20.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Sergi Roberto Laliga · 2019 | 27 | €50.0M | €18.0M | fell |
| Jordi Alba Laliga · 2018 | 29 | €60.0M | €40.0M | fell |
| Nathan Aké Premier League · 2024 | 29 | €40.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Jérôme Boateng Bundesliga · 2019 | 31 | €20.0M | €8.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Leipzig | Bayern Munich | Free / loan | €28.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Salzburg | Leipzig | €7.0M | €8.0M |
| 1 Jan 2015 | FC Liefering | Salzburg | Unknown | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | AKA Salzb. U18 | FC Liefering | Unknown | €75k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | AKA Salzb. U16 | AKA Salzb. U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | AKA Salzb. U15 | AKA Salzb. U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Salzburg Youth | AKA Salzb. U15 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 10 Jul 2007 | Abersee Yth. | Salzburg Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.