Yuriy Dyupin
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yuriy Dyupin's performance-implied value at EUR 0.0M-0.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 12.7th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 38.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €106k vs market €200k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -15% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 900 (33% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.01
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 13 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1197
- Opponent strength
- 1322
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €99k – €203k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -22% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 38: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 900 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 63 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 61%–143%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FK Sochi | Premier Liga | GK | 10 | 900 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1322 | 1197 | 0.56 |
| 2023/24 | FC Rubin Kazan | Premier Liga | GK | 29 | 2610 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1342 | 1271 | 0.49 |
| 2021/22 | FC Rubin Kazan | Premier Liga | GK | 29 | 2610 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1347 | 1227 | 0.52 |
| 2020/21 | FC Rubin Kazan | Premier Liga | GK | 26 | 2340 | 87% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1333 | 1383 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | FC Rubin Kazan | Premier Liga | GK | 30 | 2700 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1392 | 1332 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | Anzhi Makhachkala ( -2022) | Premier Liga | GK | 30 | 2700 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 1424 | 1187 | 0.69 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | FK Sochi | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | FK Krasnodar | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Rubin Kazan | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1416 |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | FC Rubin Kazan | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Russian Cup | FC Rubin Kazan | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Russian Cup | Anzhi Makhachkala ( -2022) | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick De Vlamynck Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 38 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Rustam Khudzhamov Premier Liga · 2020 | 38 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Bogdan Shust Premier Liga · 2021 | 35 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Matías Dituro Super Lig · 2024 | 37 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Rafael Bracali Liga Portugal · 2020 | 39 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| António Filipe Liga Portugal · 2021 | 36 | €100k | €50k | fell |
| Robbin Ruiter Eredivisie · 2023 | 36 | €275k | €250k | flat |
| Dennis Gentenaar Eredivisie · 2014 | 39 | €100k | €100k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2025 | Krasnodar | FK Sochi | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Rubin Kazan | Krasnodar | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Anzhi | Rubin Kazan | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Kuban Krasnodar | Anzhi | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | SKA Khabarovsk | Kuban Krasnodar | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Novokuznetsk | SKA-Energia | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Dinamo Barnaul | Met-Kuz | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2011 | Dinamo Biysk | Dinamo Barnaul | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2010 | Unknown | Dinamo Biysk | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2009 | FC Polymer | Unknown | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2008 | Ac. D. Barnaul | FC Polymer | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.