Franck Honorat

30 yrs · Right winger (also ST) · France
Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga · Foot: right · Height: 180 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€7.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€2.7M – €7.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€3.2M – €8.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.7M – €4.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€4.2M – €6.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€2.7M – €7.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.2M – €8.9M
Projected value (24 months)€1.7M – €4.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Franck Honorat's performance-implied value at EUR 3.2M-8.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.7M-7.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.7M-4.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.04x the positional average in the league (1988 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 10

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average69.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.9 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €5.2M vs market €7.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-51% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.94
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €12.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1988 (65% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.36
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.41
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
70 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.94 (rank 3)
Team strength (Elo)
1423
Opponent strength
1482
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.7M – €4.7M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 17 pts; relative output down 32% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -63% to -35%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaRW28198865%260.360.41148214220.94
2024/25Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaRW19145548%490.800.66150314270.94
2023/24Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaRW32235877%3110.530.50149514351.01
2022/23Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1RW33254474%650.390.44144413990.82
2021/22Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1RW34291185%1160.530.57143513690.86
2020/21Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1RW36246972%850.470.60146013060.75
2019/20AS Saint-ÉtienneLigue 1RW1285034%030.320.41143013830.82
2015/16OGC NiceLigue 1ST61133%000.000.58151814800.78
2014/15OGC NiceLigue 1RW51103%000.000.45142713770.80
2013/14OGC NiceLigue 1RW82006%000.000.42150113600.79

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach324803—
2024/25Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach216410—
2023/24Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach325922—
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueAS Saint-Étienne2135001539

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Kamil Grosicki
Premier League · 2017
29€7.0M€4.0Mfell
Alassane Pléa
Bundesliga · 2024
31€7.0M€2.5Mfell
Nikica Jelavic
Premier League · 2015
30€6.5M€2.0Mfell
André Hahn
Bundesliga · 2019
29€3.5M€2.5Mfell
Antonio Puertas
Laliga · 2022
30€4.5M€2.0Mfell
Romain Hamouma
Ligue 1 · 2017
30€4.0M€2.5Mfell
Takuma Asano
Bundesliga · 2024
30€4.0M€1.5Mfell
Ayoze Pérez
Laliga · 2024
31€7.0M€5.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
11 Jul 2023Stade BrestoisMönchengladbach€8.0M€10.0M
1 Jul 2020Saint-ÉtienneStade Brestois€5.0M€1.6M
30 Jun 2019Clermont FootSaint-ÉtienneFree / loan€2.0M
29 Aug 2018Saint-ÉtienneClermont FootFree / loan€800k
28 Aug 2018Clermont FootSaint-Étienne€2.0M€800k
13 Jul 2017NiceClermont FootFree / loan€400k
30 Jun 2017FC SochauxNiceFree / loan€400k
1 Jul 2016NiceFC SochauxFree / loan€150k
1 Nov 2013Nizza U19NiceUnknownData unavailable
17 Aug 2012OGC Nice U17Nizza U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011US Sanary Jgd.OGC Nice U17Free / loanData unavailable
1 Sept 2009SC Toulon Jgd.US Sanary Jgd.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.