
Franck Honorat
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Franck Honorat's performance-implied value at EUR 3.2M-8.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.7M-7.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.7M-4.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.04x the positional average in the league (1988 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 10
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 69.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €5.2M vs market €7.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -51% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1988 (65% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.36
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.41
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 70 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1423
- Opponent strength
- 1482
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.7M – €4.7M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 17 pts; relative output down 32% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -63% to -35%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | RW | 28 | 1988 | 65% | 2 | 6 | 0.36 | 0.41 | 1482 | 1422 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | RW | 19 | 1455 | 48% | 4 | 9 | 0.80 | 0.66 | 1503 | 1427 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | RW | 32 | 2358 | 77% | 3 | 11 | 0.53 | 0.50 | 1495 | 1435 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | RW | 33 | 2544 | 74% | 6 | 5 | 0.39 | 0.44 | 1444 | 1399 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | RW | 34 | 2911 | 85% | 11 | 6 | 0.53 | 0.57 | 1435 | 1369 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | RW | 36 | 2469 | 72% | 8 | 5 | 0.47 | 0.60 | 1460 | 1306 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | AS Saint-Étienne | Ligue 1 | RW | 12 | 850 | 34% | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | 0.41 | 1430 | 1383 | 0.82 |
| 2015/16 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | ST | 6 | 113 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.58 | 1518 | 1480 | 0.78 |
| 2014/15 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | RW | 5 | 110 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 1427 | 1377 | 0.80 |
| 2013/14 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | RW | 8 | 200 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.42 | 1501 | 1360 | 0.79 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3 | 248 | 0 | 3 | — |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 | 164 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3 | 259 | 2 | 2 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | AS Saint-Étienne | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | 1539 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamil Grosicki Premier League · 2017 | 29 | €7.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Alassane Pléa Bundesliga · 2024 | 31 | €7.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Nikica Jelavic Premier League · 2015 | 30 | €6.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| André Hahn Bundesliga · 2019 | 29 | €3.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Antonio Puertas Laliga · 2022 | 30 | €4.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Romain Hamouma Ligue 1 · 2017 | 30 | €4.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Takuma Asano Bundesliga · 2024 | 30 | €4.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Ayoze Pérez Laliga · 2024 | 31 | €7.0M | €5.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2023 | Stade Brestois | Mönchengladbach | €8.0M | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Saint-Étienne | Stade Brestois | €5.0M | €1.6M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Clermont Foot | Saint-Étienne | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 29 Aug 2018 | Saint-Étienne | Clermont Foot | Free / loan | €800k |
| 28 Aug 2018 | Clermont Foot | Saint-Étienne | €2.0M | €800k |
| 13 Jul 2017 | Nice | Clermont Foot | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | FC Sochaux | Nice | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Nice | FC Sochaux | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Nov 2013 | Nizza U19 | Nice | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 17 Aug 2012 | OGC Nice U17 | Nizza U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | US Sanary Jgd. | OGC Nice U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Sept 2009 | SC Toulon Jgd. | US Sanary Jgd. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.