André Onana

30 yrs · Goalkeeper · Cameroon
Trabzonspor · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 190 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€10.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€2.8M – €9.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€5.3M – €9.7M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€3.1M – €6.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€3.8M – €6.9M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€2.8M – €9.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€5.3M – €9.7M
Projected value (24 months)€3.1M – €6.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates André Onana's performance-implied value at EUR 5.3M-9.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.8M-9.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.1M-6.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 55

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh83.4th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.2 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €3.7M vs market €10.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-48% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €45.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2527 (83% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.04
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.01
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
83 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1368
Opponent strength
1275
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€3.1M – €6.9M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-235 Elo); league level down (-321 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -54% (IQR -56% to -41%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
138 (all positions)
Relative output kept
76%–145%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
59%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26TrabzonsporSuper LigGK29252783%010.040.01127513680.40
2024/25Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueGK34306089%000.000.00156516031.23
2023/24Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueGK383420100%000.000.00157915941.14
2022/23Inter MilanSerie AGK24216063%000.000.00147017380.94
2021/22Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieGK654018%000.000.00129317490.60
2020/21Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieGK20180059%000.000.00132817220.56
2019/20Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieGK24216096%000.000.00134416800.62
2018/19Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieGK33292195%000.000.00133217460.61
2017/18Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieGK33297097%000.000.00131016270.59
2016/17Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieGK32288094%010.030.01133416270.54

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueManchester United131200001575
2024/25Fa CupManchester United221000—
2024/25Community ShieldManchester United190001893
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueManchester United6540001623
2023/24Fa CupManchester United551000—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueInter Milan131170001721
2022/23Italy CupInter Milan330000—
2022/23Supercoppa ItalianaInter Milan190001688
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueAjax Amsterdam2180001484
2021/22Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam218000—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueAjax Amsterdam6540001644
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueAjax Amsterdam6540001642
2019/20Uefa Champions League QualifyingAjax Amsterdam4360001500
2019/20Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam327000—
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam190001647
2019/20Johan Cruijff SchaalAjax Amsterdam190001642
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueAjax Amsterdam121080001714
2018/19Uefa Champions League QualifyingAjax Amsterdam6540001435
2018/19Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam427200—
2017/18Uefa Champions League QualifyingAjax Amsterdam2180001567
2017/18Uefa Europa League QualifyingAjax Amsterdam2180001412
2017/18Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam112000—
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam141290001544

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Uğurcan Çakır
Super Lig · 2024
28€8.0M€15.0Mrose
Vasilios Barkas
Eredivisie · 2024
30€3.0M€3.0Mflat
Nick Olij
Eredivisie · 2024
29€4.0M€2.0Mfell
Mert Günok
Super Lig · 2020
31€4.0M€900kfell
Fernando Muslera
Super Lig · 2020
34€4.0M€1.8Mfell
Bruno Varela
Liga Portugal · 2024
30€4.0M€1.8Mfell
Ilya Lantratov
Premier Liga · 2024
29€3.5M€1.5Mfell
Loris Karius
Super Lig · 2020
27€3.2M€1.5Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026TrabzonsporMan UtdFree / loan€10.0M
11 Sept 2025Man UtdTrabzonsporFree / loan€25.0M
20 Jul 2023InterMan Utd€50.2M€35.0M
1 Jul 2022AjaxInterFree / loan€12.0M
1 Jul 2016Ajax U21AjaxUnknown€800k
14 Jan 2015Barça U19Ajax U21€150kData unavailable
30 Jun 2014UDV AlegreBarça U19Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Barça U19UDV AlegreFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Barça U18Barça U19UnknownData unavailable
30 Jun 2013Cornellà U19Barça U18Free / loanData unavailable
2 Jul 2012Barça U18Cornellà U19Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Barça U16Barça U18UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Barça YouthBarça U16UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Eto'o AcademyBarça YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.