
André Onana
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates André Onana's performance-implied value at EUR 5.3M-9.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.8M-9.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.1M-6.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 55
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 83.4th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €3.7M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -48% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2527 (83% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.01
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 83 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1368
- Opponent strength
- 1275
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.1M – €6.9M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-235 Elo); league level down (-321 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -54% (IQR -56% to -41%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 138 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–145%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 59%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | GK | 29 | 2527 | 83% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 1275 | 1368 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Manchester United | Premier League | GK | 34 | 3060 | 89% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1565 | 1603 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Manchester United | Premier League | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1579 | 1594 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Inter Milan | Serie A | GK | 24 | 2160 | 63% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1470 | 1738 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | GK | 6 | 540 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1293 | 1749 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | GK | 20 | 1800 | 59% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1328 | 1722 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | GK | 24 | 2160 | 96% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1344 | 1680 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | GK | 33 | 2921 | 95% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1332 | 1746 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | GK | 33 | 2970 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1310 | 1627 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | GK | 32 | 2880 | 94% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 1334 | 1627 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Manchester United | 13 | 1200 | 0 | 0 | 1575 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Manchester United | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Community Shield | Manchester United | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1893 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester United | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1623 |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Manchester United | 5 | 510 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Inter Milan | 13 | 1170 | 0 | 0 | 1721 |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Inter Milan | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Supercoppa Italiana | Inter Milan | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1688 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1484 |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1644 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1642 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1500 |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1647 |
| 2019/20 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1642 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 12 | 1080 | 0 | 0 | 1714 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1435 |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 4 | 272 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1567 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1412 |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 14 | 1290 | 0 | 0 | 1544 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uğurcan Çakır Super Lig · 2024 | 28 | €8.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Vasilios Barkas Eredivisie · 2024 | 30 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Nick Olij Eredivisie · 2024 | 29 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Mert Günok Super Lig · 2020 | 31 | €4.0M | €900k | fell |
| Fernando Muslera Super Lig · 2020 | 34 | €4.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Bruno Varela Liga Portugal · 2024 | 30 | €4.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Ilya Lantratov Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €3.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Loris Karius Super Lig · 2020 | 27 | €3.2M | €1.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Trabzonspor | Man Utd | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 11 Sept 2025 | Man Utd | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €25.0M |
| 20 Jul 2023 | Inter | Man Utd | €50.2M | €35.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Ajax | Inter | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Ajax U21 | Ajax | Unknown | €800k |
| 14 Jan 2015 | Barça U19 | Ajax U21 | €150k | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2014 | UDV Alegre | Barça U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Barça U19 | UDV Alegre | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Barça U18 | Barça U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2013 | Cornellà U19 | Barça U18 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 2 Jul 2012 | Barça U18 | Cornellà U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Barça U16 | Barça U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Barça Youth | Barça U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Eto'o Academy | Barça Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.