
Vasilios Barkas
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Vasilios Barkas's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-3.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-3.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-1.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 14
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 57.1th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.7M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -60% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2925 (96% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 57 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1352
- Opponent strength
- 1299
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €893k – €1.8M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -72% (IQR -78% to -45%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 217 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 70%–152%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | GK | 33 | 2925 | 96% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1299 | 1352 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | GK | 31 | 2790 | 91% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1302 | 1409 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | GK | 29 | 2610 | 85% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1351 | 1354 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | GK | 32 | 2880 | 94% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1352 | 1392 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1224 | 1575 | 0.50 |
| 2020/21 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 13 | 1170 | 39% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1314 | 1534 | 0.54 |
| 2019/20 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | GK | 20 | 1792 | 77% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1298 | 1451 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | GK | 26 | 2340 | 87% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1292 | 1442 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | GK | 5 | 450 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1295 | 1517 | 0.48 |
| 2016/17 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | GK | 20 | 1800 | 67% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1298 | 1395 | 0.44 |
| 2015/16 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | GK | 12 | 1080 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1312 | 1338 | 0.46 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Utrecht | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1342 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | FC Utrecht | 6 | 516 | 0 | 0 | 1488 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Celtic FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1434 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Celtic FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1320 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Celtic FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1638 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Celtic FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1322 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1431 |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1711 |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1505 |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1539 |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamadou Samassa Super Lig · 2020 | 30 | €2.4M | €275k | fell |
| Yuriy Dyupin Premier Liga · 2021 | 33 | €3.0M | €600k | fell |
| Nick Olij Eredivisie · 2024 | 29 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Eiji Kawashima Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 31 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Mert Günok Super Lig · 2020 | 31 | €4.0M | €900k | fell |
| Günay Güvenç Super Lig · 2022 | 31 | €2.5M | €600k | fell |
| Ibrahim Sehic Super Lig · 2022 | 34 | €1.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Sammy Bossut Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 29 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2023 | Celtic | Utrecht | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Utrecht | Celtic | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Celtic | Utrecht | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Jul 2020 | AEK Athens | Celtic | €5.0M | €2.4M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Atromitos | AEK Athens | €600k | €600k |
| 29 Jan 2013 | Atromitos U20 | Atromitos | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.