
Georgios Athanasiadis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Georgios Athanasiadis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 15.1th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €168k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -34% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1138 (49% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 15 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1255
- Opponent strength
- 1285
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €164k – €492k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -48% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1138 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–179%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | GK | 13 | 1138 | 49% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1285 | 1255 | 0.43 |
| 2023/24 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | GK | 5 | 450 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1186 | 1472 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | GK | 20 | 1800 | 77% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1242 | 1424 | 0.37 |
| 2020/21 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | GK | 13 | 1170 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1243 | 1363 | 0.39 |
| 2018/19 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | GK | 8 | 720 | 27% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1248 | 1257 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | GK | 30 | 2691 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1293 | 1332 | 0.48 |
| 2016/17 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | GK | 3 | 270 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1231 | 1217 | 0.44 |
| 2015/16 | Panthrakikos Komotini | Super League 1 | GK | 24 | 2160 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1298 | 1114 | 0.46 |
| 2014/15 | Panthrakikos Komotini | Super League 1 | GK | 25 | 2250 | 74% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1329 | 1262 | 0.44 |
| 2013/14 | Panthrakikos Komotini | Super League 1 | GK | 8 | 712 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1369 | 1241 | 0.52 |
| 2012/13 | Panthrakikos Komotini | Super League 1 | GK | 2 | 82 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1267 | 1303 | 0.57 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Aris Thessalonikis | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1350 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 3 | 211 | 0 | 0 | 1515 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1498 |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1391 |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 7 | 630 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1328 |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Kypello Elladas | Panthrakikos Komotini | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Kypello Elladas | Panthrakikos Komotini | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huanderson Super League 1 · 2016 | 33 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Nikolaos Papadopoulos Super League 1 · 2022 | 32 | €350k | €250k | fell |
| Marian Kello Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 32 | €450k | €350k | fell |
| Didier Ovono Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 31 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Giorgiy Shelia Premier Liga · 2022 | 34 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Antonio Reguero Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 33 | €250k | €50k | fell |
| Chema Super League 1 · 2014 | 34 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Sebastian Przyrowski Super League 1 · 2014 | 33 | €300k | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | AEK Larnaca | Aris Saloniki | Free / loan | €800k |
| 23 Aug 2024 | AEK Athens | AEK Larnaca | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | FC Sheriff | AEK Athens | Free / loan | €1.7M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | AEK Athens | FC Sheriff | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Asteras Tripoli | AEK Athens | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Panthrakikos | Asteras Tripoli | Free / loan | €500k |
| 11 Jul 2012 | Ethnikos Sochos | Panthrakikos | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2012 | Iraklis U20 | Ethnikos Sochos | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.