Georgios Athanasiadis

33 yrs · Goalkeeper · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 191 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€500k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€126k – €501k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€161k – €353k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€164k – €492k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€340k – €227k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€126k – €501k
Model value (performance-implied)€161k – €353k
Projected value (24 months)€164k – €492k
Dashed line: current market value (€500k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Georgios Athanasiadis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceBelow average15.1th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable33.2 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €168k vs market €500k
Expected appreciationVery low-34% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.8M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1138 (49% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.00
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
15 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1255
Opponent strength
1285
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€164k – €492k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -48% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1138 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
58 (all positions)
Relative output kept
63%–179%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
60%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1GK13113849%000.000.00128512550.43
2023/24Athlitiki Enosi KonstantinoupoleosSuper League 1GK545019%000.000.00118614720.42
2022/23Athlitiki Enosi KonstantinoupoleosSuper League 1GK20180077%000.000.00124214240.37
2020/21Athlitiki Enosi KonstantinoupoleosSuper League 1GK13117050%000.000.00124313630.39
2018/19A.G.S Asteras TripolisSuper League 1GK872027%000.000.00124812570.43
2017/18A.G.S Asteras TripolisSuper League 1GK302691100%000.000.00129313320.48
2016/17A.G.S Asteras TripolisSuper League 1GK327010%000.000.01123112170.44
2015/16Panthrakikos KomotiniSuper League 1GK24216080%000.000.00129811140.46
2014/15Panthrakikos KomotiniSuper League 1GK25225074%000.000.00132912620.44
2013/14Panthrakikos KomotiniSuper League 1GK871223%000.000.00136912410.52
2012/13Panthrakikos KomotiniSuper League 1GK2823%000.000.01126713030.57

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasAris Thessalonikis654000—
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingAris Thessalonikis190001350
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos3211001515
2023/24Kypello ElladasAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos221000—
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos190001498
2020/21Kypello ElladasAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos19000—
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos190001391
2018/19Kypello ElladasA.G.S Asteras Tripolis763000—
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingA.G.S Asteras Tripolis2180001328
2017/18Kypello ElladasA.G.S Asteras Tripolis436000—
2016/17Kypello ElladasA.G.S Asteras Tripolis436000—
2015/16Kypello ElladasPanthrakikos Komotini19000—
2014/15Kypello ElladasPanthrakikos Komotini218000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Huanderson
Super League 1 · 2016
33€500k€300kfell
Nikolaos Papadopoulos
Super League 1 · 2022
32€350k€250kfell
Marian Kello
Scottish Premiership · 2014
32€450k€350kfell
Didier Ovono
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
31€600k€600kflat
Giorgiy Shelia
Premier Liga · 2022
34€500k€500kflat
Antonio Reguero
Scottish Premiership · 2015
33€250k€50kfell
Chema
Super League 1 · 2014
34€300k€300kflat
Sebastian Przyrowski
Super League 1 · 2014
33€300k€100kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025AEK LarnacaAris SalonikiFree / loan€800k
23 Aug 2024AEK AthensAEK LarnacaFree / loan€1.0M
30 Jun 2022FC SheriffAEK AthensFree / loan€1.7M
1 Jul 2021AEK AthensFC SheriffFree / loan€600k
1 Jul 2019Asteras TripoliAEK AthensFree / loan€500k
1 Jul 2016PanthrakikosAsteras TripoliFree / loan€500k
11 Jul 2012Ethnikos SochosPanthrakikosFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2012Iraklis U20Ethnikos SochosFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.