Artem Shabanov

34 yrs · Centre-back (also DM, LB) · Ukraine
TOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv · Premier Liga · Foot: left · Height: 190 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2026
Market value
€200k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€47k – €238k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€171k – €406k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€58k – €201k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€66k – €360k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€47k – €238k
Model value (performance-implied)€171k – €406k
Projected value (24 months)€58k – €201k
Dashed line: current market value (€200k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Artem Shabanov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAverage37.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable34.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €113k vs market €200k
Expected appreciationVery low-30% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2490 (92% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.04
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.05
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
37 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1186
Opponent strength
1198
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€58k – €201k

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-123 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -61% to -24%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
11 (DEF)
Relative output kept
108%–176%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
82%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26TOV FK Metalist 1925 KharkivPremier LigaCB28249092%100.040.05119811860.25
2024/25FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaCB29261097%110.070.05119913090.28
2023/24FK Polissya ZhytomyrPremier LigaCB24216080%000.000.02126512650.34
2020/21Dynamo KyivPremier LigaLB1904%000.000.14158115630.49
2019/20Dynamo KyivPremier LigaCB17147374%200.120.08131414970.54
2018/19Dynamo KyivPremier LigaCB979540%010.110.06129415280.57
2017/18Olimpik DonetskPremier LigaCB16144073%000.000.03134613170.62
2017/18Dynamo KyivPremier LigaCB1905%000.000.05140015470.62
2016/17Volyn LutskPremier LigaCB14118041%000.000.03133711570.56
2016/17PFK Stal Kamyanske (-2018)Premier LigaCB13115240%000.000.03128712880.56
2015/16Volyn LutskPremier LigaCB21180077%000.000.03129312950.54
2014/15Volyn LutskPremier LigaCB22176976%100.050.07139112600.54
2013/14Volyn LutskPremier LigaDM31947%000.000.14149812270.63
2013/14Arsenal KyivPremier LigaCB218014%000.000.08146612860.63

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupTOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv436001—
2024/25Ukrainian CupFC Oleksandriya112000—
2023/24Ukrainian CupFK Polissya Zhytomyr221000—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueDynamo Kyiv190001786
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv5450101486
2019/20Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv445000—
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv3270001588
2018/19Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv19000—
2018/19Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv115001380
2017/18Uefa Europa League QualifyingOlimpik Donetsk2180001461
2017/18Ukrainian CupOlimpik Donetsk112000—
2017/18Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv19000—
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv145001597
2016/17Ukrainian CupVolyn Lutsk218000—
2015/16Ukrainian CupVolyn Lutsk436000—
2014/15Ukrainian CupVolyn Lutsk327000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Igor Perduta
Premier Liga · 2024
34€250k€100kfell
Dmytro Nemchaninov
Premier Liga · 2023
33€200k€150kfell
Daniel Adejo
Super League 1 · 2021
32€300k€150kfell
Dani Castellano
Super League 1 · 2022
35€150k€150kflat
Nicky Devlin
Scottish Premiership · 2024
31€550k€200kfell
Kees Luijckx
Superliga · 2020
34€250k€200kfell
Kevin Conboy
Superliga · 2020
33€300k€150kfell
Jordan Obita
Scottish Premiership · 2024
31€400k€150kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025FC OleksandriyaMetalist 1925Free / loan€250k
7 Jul 2024PolissyaFC OleksandriyaFree / loan€300k
1 Jul 2023FehérvárPolissyaFree / loan€300k
2 Feb 2022Dynamo KyivFehérvár€700k€1.2M
30 Jun 2021Legia WarszawaDynamo KyivFree / loan€1.5M
17 Feb 2021Dynamo KyivLegia WarszawaFree / loan€1.5M
6 Jan 2018Olimpik DonetskDynamo KyivFree / loan€500k
12 Jul 2017Stal KamyanskeOlimpik DonetskFree / loan€500k
27 Jan 2017Volyn LutskStal KamyanskeFree / loan€500k
17 Jan 2014Arsenal KyivVolyn LutskFree / loanData unavailable
1 Sept 2013Arsenal Kyiv IIArsenal KyivUnknownData unavailable
1 Aug 2009Arsenal K. U17Arsenal Kyiv IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Sept 2007Dynamo Kyiv U17Arsenal K. U17Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.