Wladimiro Falcone
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Wladimiro Falcone's performance-implied value at EUR 1.8M-7.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.2M-4.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.3M-3.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 31
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 73.7th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.4M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -42% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3420 (100% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 74 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1352
- Opponent strength
- 1508
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.3M – €3.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -42% (IQR -53% to -28%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | US Lecce | Serie A | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1508 | 1352 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | US Lecce | Serie A | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1506 | 1351 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | US Lecce | Serie A | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 1495 | 1359 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | US Lecce | Serie A | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1472 | 1323 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | UC Sampdoria | Serie A | GK | 10 | 855 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1519 | 1375 | 0.89 |
| 2019/20 | UC Sampdoria | Serie A | GK | 2 | 180 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1398 | 1374 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | US Lecce | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | US Lecce | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | US Lecce | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | US Lecce | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | UC Sampdoria | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Italy Cup | US Livorno 1915 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orestis Karnezis Serie A · 2016 | 31 | €5.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Marco Bizot Ligue 1 · 2022 | 31 | €4.5M | €4.0M | flat |
| Eduardo Super Lig · 2013 | 31 | €3.7M | €2.5M | fell |
| Andrea Consigli Serie A · 2018 | 31 | €5.0M | €2.8M | fell |
| Arthur Desmas Ligue 1 · 2024 | 30 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Régis Gurtner Ligue 1 · 2018 | 32 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Stole Dimitrievski Laliga · 2024 | 31 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Gianluca Pegolo Serie A · 2013 | 32 | €2.0M | €800k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2023 | Sampdoria | Lecce | €4.0M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Lecce | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 17 Jul 2022 | Sampdoria | Lecce | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Cosenza | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €2.2M |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Sampdoria | Cosenza | Free / loan | €150k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Lucchese | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €175k |
| 23 Aug 2018 | Sampdoria | Lucchese | Free / loan | €125k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Gavorrano | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €125k |
| 13 Jan 2018 | Sampdoria | Gavorrano | Free / loan | €125k |
| 12 Jan 2018 | Bassano | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €125k |
| 4 Jul 2017 | Sampdoria | Bassano | Free / loan | €150k |
| 31 Jan 2017 | AS Livorno | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €200k |
| 8 Jul 2016 | Sampdoria | AS Livorno | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Savona | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €200k |
| 20 Jul 2015 | Sampdoria | Savona | Free / loan | €175k |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Como | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €175k |
| 19 Jul 2014 | Sampdoria | Como | Free / loan | €200k |
| 21 Jan 2014 | Sampdoria U19 | Sampdoria | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Sampdoria Yth | Sampdoria U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Vigor Perconti | Sampdoria Yth | €7k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | Lodigiani Youth | Vigor Perconti | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.