Maksymilian Stryjek
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Maksymilian Stryjek's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.3M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 0.5th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €104k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -18% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 285 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 630 (21% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 1 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1104
- Opponent strength
- 1215
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €176k – €324k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -15% (IQR -28% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 630 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 11 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 38 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 78%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 74%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kilmarnock FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 7 | 630 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1215 | 1104 | 0.31 |
| 2021/22 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 33 | 2970 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1322 | 1278 | 0.50 |
| 2020/21 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 18 | 1620 | 55% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1326 | 1325 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1476 |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Wycombe Wanderers | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolaos Melissas Super League 1 · 2021 | 28 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Giannis Anestis Super League 1 · 2022 | 31 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Dániel Kovács Super League 1 · 2024 | 30 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Vasilios Soulis Super League 1 · 2023 | 29 | €175k | €150k | flat |
| Carljohan Eriksson Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 28 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Yuriy Lodygin Super League 1 · 2021 | 31 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Stefan Stojanovic Super League 1 · 2023 | 26 | €300k | €250k | flat |
| Vladimir Bajic Super League 1 · 2021 | 34 | €200k | €150k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2025 | Jagiellonia | Kilmarnock FC | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Wycombe | Jagiellonia | Free / loan | €450k |
| 31 May 2024 | Crewe Alexandra | Wycombe | Free / loan | €600k |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Wycombe | Crewe Alexandra | Free / loan | €600k |
| 18 Aug 2022 | Livingston FC | Wycombe | Free / loan | €500k |
| 21 Jul 2020 | Eastleigh | Livingston FC | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Sunderland | Eastleigh | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 22 Dec 2018 | Eastleigh | Sunderland | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 21 Sept 2018 | Sunderland | Eastleigh | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Sunderland U23 | Sunderland | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 18 Jan 2018 | Accrington | Sunderland U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 Aug 2017 | Sunderland U23 | Accrington | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Sunderland U18 | Sunderland U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 31 May 2015 | Boston Utd | Sunderland U18 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 23 Feb 2015 | Sunderland U18 | Boston Utd | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 26 Jan 2013 | MKS Polonia U19 | Sunderland U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.