Stijn Spierings

30 yrs · Central midfielder (also AM, DM) · Netherlands
Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer · Foot: right · Height: 188 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€1.8M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€515k – €1.7M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€417k – €1.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€568k – €1.3M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.3M – €907k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€515k – €1.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€417k – €1.4M
Projected value (24 months)€568k – €1.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Stijn Spierings's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.96x the positional average in the league (817 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceBelow average20.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €943k vs market €1.8M
Expected appreciationVery low-55% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.47
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €6.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
817 (41% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.33
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.21
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
20 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.47 (rank 11)
Team strength (Elo)
1336
Opponent strength
1255
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€568k – €1.3M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -53% to -9%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 817 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
23 (MID)
Relative output kept
68%–122%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
65%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Bröndby IFSuperligaCM1781741%210.330.21125513360.47
2024/25Bröndby IFSuperligaCM1135618%000.000.13133413420.38
2023/24FC ToulouseLigue 1DM22151449%010.060.11146014370.87
2023/24RC LensLigue 1DM41174%000.000.12156615180.87
2022/23FC ToulouseLigue 1DM36312391%210.090.13144713470.82
2019/20RKC WaalwijkEredivisieAM17152565%330.350.49137711740.62
2017/18Sparta RotterdamEredivisieAM1686128%200.210.37131111830.59
2016/17Sparta RotterdamEredivisieAM22173357%160.360.39133212230.54
2014/15AZ AlkmaarEredivisieAM2161%000.000.30131013890.52

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingBröndby IF5143001314
2025/26Oddset PokalenBröndby IF26300—
2024/25Oddset PokalenBröndby IF420501—
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueFC Toulouse2167001681
2023/24Trophee Des ChampionsFC Toulouse190001720
2019/20Knvb BekerRKC Waalwijk19000—
2017/18Knvb BekerSparta Rotterdam19000—
2016/17Knvb BekerSparta Rotterdam330003—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Bennard Kumordzi
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
29€1.7M€1.0Mfell
Amar Rahmanovic
Super Lig · 2022
28€2.8M€2.5Mflat
Wout Brama
Eredivisie · 2015
29€2.0M€1.5Mfell
Paul-José Mpoku
Super Lig · 2022
30€1.5M€900kfell
Alexandru Maxim
Super Lig · 2020
30€1.6M€3.5Mrose
Denys Garmash
Premier Liga · 2020
30€1.9M€1.8Mflat
Alan Dzagoev
Premier Liga · 2021
31€3.0M€700kfell
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
Super Lig · 2024
31€4.2M€1.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
26 Jan 2026Bröndby IFSalt LakeFree / loan€1.2M
28 Aug 2024LensBröndby IFFree / loan€4.5M
30 Jun 2024ToulouseLensFree / loan€4.5M
14 Sept 2023LensToulouseFree / loan€6.0M
1 Jul 2023ToulouseLensFree / loan€6.0M
5 Oct 2020Levski SofiaToulouse€500k€550k
13 Jan 2020RKC WaalwijkLevski Sofia€500k€700k
7 Jan 2019Sparta R.RKC WaalwijkFree / loan€400k
1 Jul 2016AZ AlkmaarSparta R.Free / loan€150k
30 Jun 2016Sparta R.AZ AlkmaarFree / loan€150k
1 Feb 2016AZ AlkmaarSparta R.Free / loan€150k
1 Jul 2015AZ Alkmaar U21AZ AlkmaarUnknown€150k
1 Jul 2014AZ U19AZ Alkmaar U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013AZ U17AZ U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.