
Stijn Spierings
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Stijn Spierings's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.96x the positional average in the league (817 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 20.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €943k vs market €1.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -55% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 817 (41% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.33
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.21
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 20 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 11)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1336
- Opponent strength
- 1255
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €568k – €1.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -53% to -9%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 817 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 23 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | CM | 17 | 817 | 41% | 2 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.21 | 1255 | 1336 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | CM | 11 | 356 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1334 | 1342 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | DM | 22 | 1514 | 49% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 1460 | 1437 | 0.87 |
| 2023/24 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | DM | 4 | 117 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1566 | 1518 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | DM | 36 | 3123 | 91% | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 1447 | 1347 | 0.82 |
| 2019/20 | RKC Waalwijk | Eredivisie | AM | 17 | 1525 | 65% | 3 | 3 | 0.35 | 0.49 | 1377 | 1174 | 0.62 |
| 2017/18 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | AM | 16 | 861 | 28% | 2 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.37 | 1311 | 1183 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | AM | 22 | 1733 | 57% | 1 | 6 | 0.36 | 0.39 | 1332 | 1223 | 0.54 |
| 2014/15 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | AM | 2 | 16 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1310 | 1389 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Bröndby IF | 5 | 143 | 0 | 0 | 1314 |
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 2 | 63 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 4 | 205 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | FC Toulouse | 2 | 167 | 0 | 0 | 1681 |
| 2023/24 | Trophee Des Champions | FC Toulouse | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1720 |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | RKC Waalwijk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 300 | 0 | 3 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennard Kumordzi Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 29 | €1.7M | €1.0M | fell |
| Amar Rahmanovic Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €2.8M | €2.5M | flat |
| Wout Brama Eredivisie · 2015 | 29 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Paul-José Mpoku Super Lig · 2022 | 30 | €1.5M | €900k | fell |
| Alexandru Maxim Super Lig · 2020 | 30 | €1.6M | €3.5M | rose |
| Denys Garmash Premier Liga · 2020 | 30 | €1.9M | €1.8M | flat |
| Alan Dzagoev Premier Liga · 2021 | 31 | €3.0M | €700k | fell |
| Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain Super Lig · 2024 | 31 | €4.2M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2026 | Bröndby IF | Salt Lake | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 28 Aug 2024 | Lens | Bröndby IF | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Toulouse | Lens | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 14 Sept 2023 | Lens | Toulouse | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Toulouse | Lens | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 5 Oct 2020 | Levski Sofia | Toulouse | €500k | €550k |
| 13 Jan 2020 | RKC Waalwijk | Levski Sofia | €500k | €700k |
| 7 Jan 2019 | Sparta R. | RKC Waalwijk | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | AZ Alkmaar | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €150k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Sparta R. | AZ Alkmaar | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Feb 2016 | AZ Alkmaar | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | AZ Alkmaar U21 | AZ Alkmaar | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | AZ U19 | AZ Alkmaar U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | AZ U17 | AZ U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.