
László Bénes
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates László Bénes's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-2.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.44x the positional average in the league (2581 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 80
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 40.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.4M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2581 (84% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.31
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.32
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 41 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1147
- Opponent strength
- 1263
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €912k – €2.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 66 pts; changed club; team strength down (-247 Elo); league level down (-219 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -28% to +2%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | CM | 32 | 2581 | 84% | 7 | 2 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 1263 | 1147 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | CM | 23 | 572 | 19% | 2 | 1 | 0.47 | 0.35 | 1467 | 1394 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | CM | 13 | 239 | 8% | 0 | 1 | 0.38 | 0.27 | 1575 | 1535 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | AM | 12 | 663 | 22% | 1 | 1 | 0.27 | 0.48 | 1600 | 1396 | 1.06 |
| 2020/21 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | CM | 7 | 144 | 5% | 0 | 1 | 0.63 | 0.19 | 1493 | 1581 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | CM | 22 | 892 | 29% | 0 | 4 | 0.40 | 0.27 | 1540 | 1604 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | CM | 1 | 26 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1581 | 1528 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | CM | 2 | 37 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 1448 | 1521 | 1.04 |
| 2016/17 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | CM | 8 | 286 | 9% | 1 | 0 | 0.31 | 0.19 | 1505 | 1549 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 2 | 153 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 | 73 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1656 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 284 | 0 | 0 | 1480 |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 | 82 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | Holstein Kiel | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 | 51 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soner Aydoğdu Super Lig · 2020 | 29 | €1.4M | €1.5M | flat |
| Jamie Hamill Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 28 | €700k | €400k | fell |
| Haris Hajradinovic Super Lig · 2020 | 26 | €2.4M | €3.3M | rose |
| Florian Loshaj Super Lig · 2024 | 28 | €700k | €700k | flat |
| Siebe Schrijvers Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 26 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| André Poko Super Lig · 2022 | 29 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Carlinhos Liga Portugal · 2024 | 30 | €1.2M | €1.2M | flat |
| Miguel Cardoso Super Lig · 2023 | 29 | €2.7M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Kayserispor | Union Berlin | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Union Berlin | Kayserispor | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Hamburg | Union Berlin | €3.0M | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Mönchengladbach | Hamburg | €1.5M | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Augsburg | Mönchengladbach | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 1 Feb 2021 | Mönchengladbach | Augsburg | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Holstein Kiel | Mönchengladbach | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 29 Jan 2019 | Mönchengladbach | Holstein Kiel | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | MSK Zilina | Mönchengladbach | €5.0M | €500k |
| 5 Feb 2015 | Győr U19 | MSK Zilina | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Győr U17 | Győr U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Győr Yth. | Győr U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | D. Streda Yth. | Győr Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.