László Bénes

29 yrs · Central midfielder (also AM) · Slovakia
Kayserispor · Super Lig · Foot: left · Height: 181 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€2.5M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€670k – €2.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€881k – €2.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€912k – €2.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.4M – €1.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€670k – €2.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€881k – €2.1M
Projected value (24 months)€912k – €2.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates László Bénes's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-2.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.44x the positional average in the league (2581 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 80

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage40.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable28.8 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.4M vs market €2.5M
Expected appreciationLow-22% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €10.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2581 (84% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.31
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.32
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
41 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1147
Opponent strength
1263
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€912k – €2.5M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 66 pts; changed club; team strength down (-247 Elo); league level down (-219 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -28% to +2%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
35 (MID)
Relative output kept
77%–144%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
69%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26KayserisporSuper LigCM32258184%720.310.31126311470.40
2024/251.FC Union BerlinBundesligaCM2357219%210.470.35146713940.94
2021/22Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaCM132398%010.380.27157515351.05
2020/21FC AugsburgBundesligaAM1266322%110.270.48160013961.06
2020/21Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaCM71445%010.630.19149315811.06
2019/20Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaCM2289229%040.400.27154016041.06
2018/19Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaCM1261%000.000.17158115281.05
2017/18Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaCM2371%000.000.18144815211.04
2016/17Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaCM82869%100.310.19150515491.06

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2024/25Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin215300—
2021/22Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach17300—
2020/21Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach19010—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueBorussia Mönchengladbach214001656
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueBorussia Mönchengladbach4284001480
2019/20Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach28200—
2018/19Dfb PokalHolstein Kiel1200—
2016/17Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach25100—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Soner Aydoğdu
Super Lig · 2020
29€1.4M€1.5Mflat
Jamie Hamill
Scottish Premiership · 2014
28€700k€400kfell
Haris Hajradinovic
Super Lig · 2020
26€2.4M€3.3Mrose
Florian Loshaj
Super Lig · 2024
28€700k€700kflat
Siebe Schrijvers
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
26€2.0M€2.0Mflat
André Poko
Super Lig · 2022
29€1.5M€1.0Mfell
Carlinhos
Liga Portugal · 2024
30€1.2M€1.2Mflat
Miguel Cardoso
Super Lig · 2023
29€2.7M€2.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026KayserisporUnion BerlinFree / loan€2.5M
16 Aug 2025Union BerlinKayserisporFree / loan€3.0M
1 Jul 2024HamburgUnion Berlin€3.0M€5.0M
1 Jul 2022MönchengladbachHamburg€1.5M€3.0M
30 Jun 2021AugsburgMönchengladbachFree / loan€4.0M
1 Feb 2021MönchengladbachAugsburgFree / loan€6.0M
30 Jun 2019Holstein KielMönchengladbachFree / loan€1.5M
29 Jan 2019MönchengladbachHolstein KielFree / loan€1.0M
1 Jul 2016MSK ZilinaMönchengladbach€5.0M€500k
5 Feb 2015Győr U19MSK ZilinaUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Győr U17Győr U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Győr Yth.Győr U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011D. Streda Yth.Győr Yth.UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

László Bénes · MoneyballAI