Valeriy Luchkevych
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Valeriy Luchkevych's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 0.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €74k vs market €250k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -24% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 521 (19% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 0 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1091
- Opponent strength
- 1168
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €102k – €248k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -19% (IQR -39% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 521 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi | Premier Liga | RB | 7 | 521 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1168 | 1091 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | RB | 3 | 182 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1095 | 1186 | 0.28 |
| 2024/25 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | RB | 2 | 11 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1094 | 1406 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | RM | 23 | 1870 | 69% | 2 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 1259 | 1143 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | SC Dnipro-1 | Premier Liga | RB | 2 | 27 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1416 | 1398 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | SC Dnipro-1 | Premier Liga | RB | 13 | 601 | 37% | 0 | 3 | 0.45 | 0.22 | 1332 | 1365 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | RM | 21 | 1555 | 66% | 2 | 3 | 0.29 | 0.23 | 1304 | 1285 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | RM | 20 | 1683 | 85% | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 1339 | 1356 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | RB | 4 | 315 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1371 | 1384 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 8 | 275 | 10% | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.16 | 1383 | 1408 | 0.63 |
| 2016/17 | Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk (-2020) | Premier Liga | RM | 10 | 784 | 27% | 2 | 1 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 1443 | 1342 | 0.56 |
| 2016/17 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 2 | 125 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1313 | 1383 | 0.62 |
| 2015/16 | Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk (-2020) | Premier Liga | RM | 20 | 963 | 41% | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 1381 | 1505 | 0.54 |
| 2014/15 | Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk (-2020) | Premier Liga | RB | 13 | 1021 | 44% | 2 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.15 | 1356 | 1513 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 79 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | SC Dnipro-1 | 2 | 178 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 4 | 325 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | FC Oleksandriya | 6 | 501 | 0 | 0 | 1524 |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Ukrainian Cup | Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk (-2020) | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Ukrainian Cup | Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk (-2020) | 7 | 456 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk (-2020) | 3 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1487 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk (-2020) | 8 | 579 | 0 | 0 | 1589 |
| 2014/15 | Ukrainian Cup | Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk (-2020) | 6 | 419 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dmytro Fateev Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Kaan Kanak Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €200k | €175k | flat |
| Gonzalo Paz Super League 1 · 2023 | 30 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Maksym Lopyryonok Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €300k | €175k | fell |
| Cammy Kerr Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 29 | €325k | €75k | fell |
| Bogdan Butko Super Lig · 2021 | 30 | €675k | €500k | fell |
| Dimitrios Konstantinidis Super League 1 · 2023 | 29 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| David Keltjens Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 29 | €400k | €250k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2026 | Without Club | Epicentr | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Dynamo Kyiv | Without Club | Unknown | €400k |
| 6 Mar 2025 | Kolos Kovalivka | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €400k |
| 7 Jul 2023 | SC Dnipro-1 | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | FC Oleksandriya | SC Dnipro-1 | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Standard Liège | FC Oleksandriya | €250k | €700k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | FC Oleksandriya | Standard Liège | Free / loan | €700k |
| 4 Jan 2019 | Standard Liège | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €700k |
| 30 Jan 2017 | Dnipro | Standard Liège | €1.2M | €1.0M |
| 1 Sept 2014 | Dnipro II | Dnipro | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2014 | Zaporizhya U19 | Dnipro II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Metalurg Z. U17 | Zaporizhya U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.