Achilleas Poungouras
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Achilleas Poungouras's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 2.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €122k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -20% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 647 (28% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 2 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1225
- Opponent strength
- 1279
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €212k – €398k
Trajectory drivers: changed club; role change DM -> CB; relative output up 74% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -10% to +55%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 647 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | CB | 8 | 647 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1279 | 1225 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Sivasspor | Super Lig | DM | 19 | 884 | 27% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1334 | 1183 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Sivasspor | Super Lig | CB | 18 | 1189 | 35% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1317 | 1293 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | CB | 8 | 629 | 27% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1239 | 1414 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | CB | 6 | 451 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1312 | 1348 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | CB | 20 | 1531 | 65% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 1255 | 1362 | 0.39 |
| 2019/20 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | CB | 24 | 2115 | 90% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1317 | 1365 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | CB | 15 | 877 | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1297 | 1306 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 1 | 25 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1173 | 1511 | 0.48 |
| 2016/17 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 2 | 126 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1181 | 1462 | 0.44 |
| 2015/16 | Veria NPS | Super League 1 | CB | 19 | 1533 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1322 | 1186 | 0.46 |
| 2014/15 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1285 | 1384 | 0.44 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | 4 | 202 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1551 |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 91 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 4 | 290 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1597 |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 36 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Kypello Elladas | Veria NPS | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1467 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guilherme Super Lig · 2020 | 30 | €475k | €1.5M | rose |
| Marko Jovanovic Super League 1 · 2018 | 30 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Nikolai Alho Super League 1 · 2022 | 29 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Ibrahima Niasse Super League 1 · 2017 | 29 | €250k | €400k | rose |
| Nicklas Mouritsen Superliga · 2024 | 29 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Eren Albayrak Super Lig · 2020 | 29 | €325k | €500k | rose |
| Raúl Llorente Super League 1 · 2017 | 31 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Dimitrios Koutromanos Super League 1 · 2018 | 31 | €300k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2026 | Without Club | OFI Crete | Unknown | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Sivasspor | Without Club | Unknown | €400k |
| 11 Aug 2023 | Panathinaikos | Sivasspor | Free / loan | €600k |
| 3 Aug 2018 | PAOK | Panathinaikos | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Arka Gdynia | PAOK | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Mar 2018 | PAOK | Arka Gdynia | Free / loan | €350k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | PAE Veria | PAOK | Free / loan | €300k |
| 31 Aug 2015 | PAOK | PAE Veria | Free / loan | €100k |
| 29 Aug 2014 | PAOK U20 | PAOK | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.