Vedat Muriqi

The model rates Vedat Muriqi's performance-implied value at EUR 4.6M-9.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.9M-5.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.5M-3.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.40x the positional average in the league (3137 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

3137 (92% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.69

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.71

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

87 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.95 (rank 2)

Team strength (Elo)

1421

Opponent strength

1487

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€1.5M – €3.1M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 31 pts; relative output up 46% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -65% to -21%).

• ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.