
Ante Budimir
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ante Budimir's performance-implied value at EUR 2.5M-4.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-2.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.99x the positional average in the league (2953 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | High | 88.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 34.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €2.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -62% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2953 (86% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.52
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.50
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 88 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1427
- Opponent strength
- 1478
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €708k – €1.9M
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 31% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -63% (IQR -71% to -26%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | ST | 37 | 2953 | 86% | 17 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.50 | 1478 | 1427 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | ST | 38 | 2967 | 87% | 21 | 4 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 1507 | 1484 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | ST | 33 | 2449 | 72% | 17 | 2 | 0.70 | 0.75 | 1487 | 1442 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | ST | 31 | 1809 | 53% | 8 | 1 | 0.45 | 0.51 | 1475 | 1455 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | ST | 28 | 1740 | 51% | 8 | 2 | 0.52 | 0.57 | 1516 | 1446 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | ST | 30 | 1623 | 47% | 11 | 0 | 0.61 | 0.72 | 1572 | 1471 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | ST | 35 | 2782 | 81% | 13 | 3 | 0.52 | 0.79 | 1551 | 1415 | 1.16 |
| 2017/18 | FC Crotone | Serie A | ST | 22 | 1590 | 46% | 6 | 0 | 0.34 | 0.58 | 1486 | 1328 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | UC Sampdoria | Serie A | ST | 11 | 304 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.44 | 1481 | 1414 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Croatia | 2 | 111 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 3 | 60 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 4 | 282 | 3 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | CA Osasuna | 2 | 114 | 1 | 0 | 1505 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 2 | 108 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Supercopa | CA Osasuna | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1695 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 6 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 2 | 97 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 2 | 139 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | FC Crotone | 2 | 163 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Italy Cup | UC Sampdoria | 3 | 175 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iago Aspas Laliga · 2023 | 36 | €6.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Florian Sotoca Ligue 1 · 2024 | 34 | €3.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Francesco Caputo Serie A · 2023 | 36 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Fabio Quagliarella Serie A · 2017 | 34 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Daniel Caligiuri Bundesliga · 2021 | 33 | €2.0M | €600k | fell |
| Riki Laliga · 2013 | 33 | €2.0M | €500k | fell |
| Halil Altintop Bundesliga · 2015 | 33 | €2.0M | €500k | fell |
| Jimmy Briand Ligue 1 · 2017 | 32 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2021 | RCD Mallorca | CA Osasuna | €8.0M | €9.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | CA Osasuna | RCD Mallorca | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 5 Oct 2020 | RCD Mallorca | CA Osasuna | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Crotone | RCD Mallorca | €2.2M | €1.4M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | RCD Mallorca | Crotone | Free / loan | €1.4M |
| 15 Jan 2019 | Crotone | RCD Mallorca | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Sampdoria | Crotone | €1.7M | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Crotone | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 5 Jul 2017 | Sampdoria | Crotone | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 5 Jul 2016 | Crotone | Sampdoria | €1.8M | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | St. Pauli | Crotone | €1.0M | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Crotone | St. Pauli | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 31 Aug 2015 | St. Pauli | Crotone | Free / loan | €600k |
| 4 Aug 2014 | NK Lokomotiva | St. Pauli | €1.0M | €950k |
| 5 Jul 2013 | Inter Zapresic | NK Lokomotiva | Unknown | €850k |
| 28 Jan 2011 | HNK Gorica | Inter Zapresic | €20k | €50k |
| 21 Aug 2009 | Without Club | HNK Gorica | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Oct 2008 | LASK | Without Club | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2008 | NK Radnik | LASK | Unknown | €50k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.