
Bruno Petkovic
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Bruno Petkovic's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.06x the positional average in the league (1338 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 32
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 13.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €496k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -57% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1338 (44% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.47
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.54
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 13 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1188
- Opponent strength
- 1281
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €362k – €1.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -56% (IQR -74% to +2%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1338 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kocaelispor | Super Lig | ST | 18 | 1338 | 44% | 7 | 0 | 0.47 | 0.54 | 1281 | 1188 | 0.40 |
| 2017/18 | Hellas Verona | Serie A | ST | 16 | 923 | 27% | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.52 | 1468 | 1221 | 0.86 |
| 2017/18 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | ST | 9 | 326 | 10% | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | 0.74 | 1586 | 1323 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | ST | 12 | 521 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.39 | 1488 | 1360 | 0.88 |
| 2013/14 | Catania FC | Serie A | ST | 4 | 187 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.70 | 1624 | 1366 | 0.88 |
| 2012/13 | Catania FC | Serie A | ST | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.46 | 1337 | 1459 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 193 | 2 | 0 | 1665 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 143 | 0 | 0 | 1556 |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabio Borini Super Lig · 2022 | 31 | €2.5M | €2.2M | flat |
| Mario Gavranovic Super Lig · 2022 | 33 | €1.5M | €750k | fell |
| Artur Sobiech Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €1.3M | €250k | fell |
| Muris Mesanovic Super Lig · 2020 | 30 | €900k | €350k | fell |
| Emrah Başsan Super Lig · 2024 | 32 | €700k | €200k | fell |
| Tonni Adamsen Superliga · 2024 | 30 | €900k | €1.5M | rose |
| Tom van Weert Superliga · 2021 | 31 | €500k | €800k | rose |
| Mustafa Pektemek Super Lig · 2021 | 33 | €650k | €50k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb | Kocaelispor | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 21 Jan 2019 | Bologna | Dinamo Zagreb | €1.0M | €850k |
| 20 Jan 2019 | Dinamo Zagreb | Bologna | Free / loan | €850k |
| 10 Aug 2018 | Bologna | Dinamo Zagreb | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Hellas Verona | Bologna | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 11 Jan 2018 | Bologna | Hellas Verona | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 12 Jan 2017 | Trapani | Bologna | €1.3M | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Catania | Trapani | €600k | €1.2M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Trapani | Catania | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 1 Feb 2016 | Catania | Trapani | Free / loan | €350k |
| 31 Jan 2016 | Virtus Entella | Catania | Free / loan | €350k |
| 31 Aug 2015 | Catania | Virtus Entella | Free / loan | €375k |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Reggiana | Catania | Free / loan | €375k |
| 30 Jan 2015 | Catania | Reggiana | Free / loan | €400k |
| 29 Jan 2015 | Varese | Catania | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Sept 2014 | Catania | Varese | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Catania U19 | Catania | Unknown | €200k |
| 27 Aug 2012 | Dragovoljac U19 | Catania U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 12 Aug 2011 | HASK ZG U17 | Dragovoljac U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 19 Feb 2010 | NK Zagreb U17 | HASK ZG U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 4 Sept 2009 | D. Zagreb Yth. | NK Zagreb U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 29 Aug 2007 | Neret. Metkovic | D. Zagreb Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.