Bruno Petkovic

32 yrs · Striker · Croatia
Kocaelispor · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 193 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€1.5M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€372k – €1.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€241k – €894k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€362k – €1.1M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€955k – €523k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€372k – €1.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€241k – €894k
Projected value (24 months)€362k – €1.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Bruno Petkovic's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.06x the positional average in the league (1338 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 32

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average13.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.8 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €496k vs market €1.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-57% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €13.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1338 (44% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.47
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.54
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
13 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1188
Opponent strength
1281
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€362k – €1.1M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -56% (IQR -74% to +2%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1338 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (ATT)
Relative output kept
79%–133%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
58%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26KocaelisporSuper LigST18133844%700.470.54128111880.40
2017/18Hellas VeronaSerie AST1692327%020.200.52146812210.86
2017/18Bologna Football Club 1909Serie AST932610%010.280.74158613230.86
2016/17Bologna Football Club 1909Serie AST1252115%000.000.39148813600.88
2013/14Catania FCSerie AST41875%000.000.70162413660.88
2012/13Catania FCSerie AST110%000.000.46133714590.88

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueGNK Dinamo Zagreb3193201665
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingGNK Dinamo Zagreb2143001556
2017/18Italy CupBologna Football Club 190914500—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Fabio Borini
Super Lig · 2022
31€2.5M€2.2Mflat
Mario Gavranovic
Super Lig · 2022
33€1.5M€750kfell
Artur Sobiech
Super Lig · 2021
31€1.3M€250kfell
Muris Mesanovic
Super Lig · 2020
30€900k€350kfell
Emrah Başsan
Super Lig · 2024
32€700k€200kfell
Tonni Adamsen
Superliga · 2024
30€900k€1.5Mrose
Tom van Weert
Superliga · 2021
31€500k€800krose
Mustafa Pektemek
Super Lig · 2021
33€650k€50kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
16 Jul 2025Dinamo ZagrebKocaelisporFree / loan€3.0M
21 Jan 2019BolognaDinamo Zagreb€1.0M€850k
20 Jan 2019Dinamo ZagrebBolognaFree / loan€850k
10 Aug 2018BolognaDinamo ZagrebFree / loan€1.0M
30 Jun 2018Hellas VeronaBolognaFree / loan€1.0M
11 Jan 2018BolognaHellas VeronaFree / loan€1.2M
12 Jan 2017TrapaniBologna€1.3M€1.2M
1 Jul 2016CataniaTrapani€600k€1.2M
30 Jun 2016TrapaniCataniaFree / loan€1.2M
1 Feb 2016CataniaTrapaniFree / loan€350k
31 Jan 2016Virtus EntellaCataniaFree / loan€350k
31 Aug 2015CataniaVirtus EntellaFree / loan€375k
30 Jun 2015ReggianaCataniaFree / loan€375k
30 Jan 2015CataniaReggianaFree / loan€400k
29 Jan 2015VareseCataniaFree / loan€400k
1 Sept 2014CataniaVareseFree / loan€400k
1 Jul 2013Catania U19CataniaUnknown€200k
27 Aug 2012Dragovoljac U19Catania U19UnknownData unavailable
12 Aug 2011HASK ZG U17Dragovoljac U19UnknownData unavailable
19 Feb 2010NK Zagreb U17HASK ZG U17UnknownData unavailable
4 Sept 2009D. Zagreb Yth.NK Zagreb U17UnknownData unavailable
29 Aug 2007Neret. MetkovicD. Zagreb Yth.UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.