
Amir Rrahmani
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Amir Rrahmani's performance-implied value at EUR 4.5M-12.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.5M-8.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.5M-5.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 7
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 94th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €4.7M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -69% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1800 (53% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 94 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1618
- Opponent strength
- 1478
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.5M – €5.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 47 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -38% (IQR -60% to -21%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | CB | 21 | 1800 | 53% | 2 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.09 | 1478 | 1618 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | CB | 38 | 3407 | 100% | 1 | 3 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 1492 | 1660 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | CB | 30 | 2602 | 76% | 3 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 1487 | 1569 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | CB | 29 | 2449 | 72% | 2 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 1452 | 1739 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | CB | 33 | 2928 | 86% | 4 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 1467 | 1645 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | CB | 16 | 1089 | 32% | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.09 | 1460 | 1643 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Hellas Verona | Serie A | CB | 36 | 3229 | 94% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 1438 | 1314 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | SSC Napoli | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1562 |
| 2025/26 | Supercoppa Italiana | SSC Napoli | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1636 |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | SSC Napoli | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | SSC Napoli | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | SSC Napoli | 7 | 553 | 1 | 0 | 1615 |
| 2023/24 | Supercoppa Italiana | SSC Napoli | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1694 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | SSC Napoli | 7 | 614 | 0 | 0 | 1670 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | SSC Napoli | 7 | 470 | 0 | 0 | 1596 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | SSC Napoli | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | SSC Napoli | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | SSC Napoli | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1530 |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | Hellas Verona | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mats Hummels Bundesliga · 2022 | 34 | €6.5M | €5.0M | fell |
| Mário Rui Serie A · 2023 | 32 | €8.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Gary Cahill Premier League · 2016 | 31 | €16.0M | €15.0M | flat |
| Leandro Fernández Premier Liga · 2014 | 31 | €5.0M | €300k | fell |
| Danilo Serie A · 2022 | 31 | €13.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Nicolás Tagliafico Ligue 1 · 2024 | 32 | €8.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Samuel Gigot Ligue 1 · 2023 | 30 | €10.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Aurélien Chedjou Super Lig · 2014 | 29 | €9.5M | €8.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2020 | Hellas Verona | Napoli | Free / loan | €14.0M |
| 20 Jan 2020 | Napoli | Hellas Verona | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 20 Jan 2020 | Hellas Verona | Napoli | €15.3M | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Dinamo Zagreb | Hellas Verona | €3.5M | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2017 | NK Lokomotiva | Dinamo Zagreb | Free / loan | €1.4M |
| 31 Aug 2016 | Dinamo Zagreb | NK Lokomotiva | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 30 Aug 2016 | RNK Split | Dinamo Zagreb | €1.6M | €1.8M |
| 3 Jul 2015 | FK Partizani | RNK Split | Free / loan | €450k |
| 5 Jul 2013 | FC Drenica | FK Partizani | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | FC Drenica U19 | FC Drenica | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Ramiz Sadiku | FC Drenica U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.