Amir Rrahmani

32 yrs · Centre-back · Kosovo
SSC Napoli · Serie A · Foot: right · Height: 192 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€10.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€3.5M – €8.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€4.5M – €12.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.5M – €5.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€3.9M – €8.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.5M – €8.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€4.5M – €12.3M
Projected value (24 months)€2.5M – €5.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Amir Rrahmani's performance-implied value at EUR 4.5M-12.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.5M-8.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.5M-5.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 7

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceElite94th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €4.7M vs market €10.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-69% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €25.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1800 (53% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.15
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.09
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
94 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1618
Opponent strength
1478
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.5M – €5.0M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 47 pts.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -38% (IQR -60% to -21%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26SSC NapoliSerie ACB21180053%210.150.09147816180.93
2024/25SSC NapoliSerie ACB383407100%130.110.08149216600.99
2023/24SSC NapoliSerie ACB30260276%300.100.07148715690.98
2022/23SSC NapoliSerie ACB29244972%210.110.06145217390.94
2021/22SSC NapoliSerie ACB33292886%400.120.08146716450.89
2020/21SSC NapoliSerie ACB16108932%110.170.09146016430.90
2019/20Hellas VeronaSerie ACB36322994%010.030.05143813140.82

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueSSC Napoli3270001562
2025/26Supercoppa ItalianaSSC Napoli2180001636
2025/26Italy CupSSC Napoli19000—
2024/25Italy CupSSC Napoli19000—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueSSC Napoli7553101615
2023/24Supercoppa ItalianaSSC Napoli2180001694
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueSSC Napoli7614001670
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueSSC Napoli7470001596
2021/22Italy CupSSC Napoli112000—
2020/21Italy CupSSC Napoli218000—
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueSSC Napoli2180001530
2019/20Italy CupHellas Verona112000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Mats Hummels
Bundesliga · 2022
34€6.5M€5.0Mfell
Mário Rui
Serie A · 2023
32€8.0M€3.5Mfell
Gary Cahill
Premier League · 2016
31€16.0M€15.0Mflat
Leandro Fernández
Premier Liga · 2014
31€5.0M€300kfell
Danilo
Serie A · 2022
31€13.0M€10.0Mfell
Nicolás Tagliafico
Ligue 1 · 2024
32€8.0M€4.0Mfell
Samuel Gigot
Ligue 1 · 2023
30€10.0M€3.0Mfell
Aurélien Chedjou
Super Lig · 2014
29€9.5M€8.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
31 Aug 2020Hellas VeronaNapoliFree / loan€14.0M
20 Jan 2020NapoliHellas VeronaFree / loan€6.0M
20 Jan 2020Hellas VeronaNapoli€15.3M€6.0M
1 Jul 2019Dinamo ZagrebHellas Verona€3.5M€1.5M
30 Jun 2017NK LokomotivaDinamo ZagrebFree / loan€1.4M
31 Aug 2016Dinamo ZagrebNK LokomotivaFree / loan€1.8M
30 Aug 2016RNK SplitDinamo Zagreb€1.6M€1.8M
3 Jul 2015FK PartizaniRNK SplitFree / loan€450k
5 Jul 2013FC DrenicaFK PartizaniFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2011FC Drenica U19FC DrenicaUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Ramiz SadikuFC Drenica U19Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Amir Rrahmani · MoneyballAI