
Dominic Solanke
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dominic Solanke's performance-implied value at EUR 15.5M-26.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 18.5M-38.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 7.5M-15.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.76x the positional average in the league (1001 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 0
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 90.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €26.6M vs market €28.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -63% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1001 (29% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.27
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.39
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 90 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1564
- Opponent strength
- 1591
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €7.5M – €15.8M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 35 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -72% to -34%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1001 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | ST | 15 | 1001 | 29% | 3 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 1591 | 1564 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | ST | 27 | 2206 | 65% | 9 | 3 | 0.49 | 0.45 | 1587 | 1564 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | ST | 38 | 3333 | 97% | 19 | 3 | 0.59 | 0.65 | 1582 | 1496 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | ST | 33 | 2873 | 84% | 6 | 7 | 0.41 | 0.58 | 1558 | 1425 | 1.23 |
| 2019/20 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | ST | 32 | 1644 | 48% | 3 | 1 | 0.22 | 0.43 | 1603 | 1415 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | ST | 10 | 341 | 10% | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.41 | 1466 | 1495 | 1.22 |
| 2017/18 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | ST | 21 | 582 | 17% | 1 | 1 | 0.31 | 0.28 | 1490 | 1779 | 1.15 |
| 2015/16 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | ST | 25 | 1811 | 59% | 7 | 1 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 1338 | 1370 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 3 | 132 | 3 | 0 | 1662 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Super Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1830 |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Tottenham Hotspur | 13 | 804 | 5 | 4 | 1558 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 51 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 45 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Fa Cup | AFC Bournemouth | 2 | 179 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Liverpool FC | 3 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1679 |
| 2017/18 | Fa Cup | Liverpool FC | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Liverpool FC | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1592 |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Champions League | Chelsea FC | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1442 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Benteke Premier League · 2019 | 29 | €15.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Cenk Tosun Premier League · 2019 | 28 | €18.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Bernard Premier League · 2020 | 28 | €16.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Richarlison Premier League · 2023 | 26 | €48.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Lucas Moura Premier League · 2021 | 29 | €25.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Vitolo Laliga · 2018 | 29 | €25.0M | €14.5M | fell |
| Beto Premier League · 2024 | 26 | €20.0M | €18.0M | flat |
| Patrik Schick Bundesliga · 2023 | 27 | €25.0M | €27.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2024 | Bournemouth | Tottenham | €64.3M | €40.0M |
| 4 Jan 2019 | Liverpool | Bournemouth | €21.2M | €10.0M |
| 10 Jul 2017 | Chelsea U23 | Liverpool | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Vitesse | Chelsea U21 | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 4 Aug 2015 | Chelsea U21 | Vitesse | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Chelsea U18 | Chelsea U21 | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Chelsea Youth | Chelsea U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.