Patrik Schick
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Patrik Schick's performance-implied value at EUR 14.3M-35.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 9.9M-20.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.8M-13.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.94x the positional average in the league (1996 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 1
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 95.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €14.7M vs market €18.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -59% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1996 (65% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.86
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.48
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 95 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1626
- Opponent strength
- 1473
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.8M – €13.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -70% (IQR -80% to -62%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | ST | 28 | 1996 | 65% | 16 | 3 | 0.86 | 0.48 | 1473 | 1626 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | ST | 31 | 1686 | 55% | 21 | 1 | 1.17 | 0.46 | 1469 | 1681 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | ST | 20 | 1065 | 35% | 7 | 2 | 0.76 | 0.36 | 1485 | 1787 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | ST | 14 | 941 | 31% | 3 | 1 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 1510 | 1601 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | ST | 27 | 2096 | 68% | 24 | 5 | 1.25 | 0.81 | 1521 | 1639 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | ST | 29 | 1865 | 61% | 9 | 2 | 0.53 | 0.39 | 1525 | 1563 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | ST | 22 | 1302 | 43% | 10 | 2 | 0.83 | 0.43 | 1515 | 1700 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | Associazione Sportiva Roma | Serie A | ST | 24 | 1315 | 38% | 3 | 2 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 1451 | 1595 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | Associazione Sportiva Roma | Serie A | ST | 22 | 985 | 29% | 2 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 1441 | 1712 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | UC Sampdoria | Serie A | ST | 32 | 1506 | 44% | 11 | 4 | 0.90 | 0.78 | 1485 | 1414 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 537 | 4 | 1 | 1592 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 332 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Czech Republic | 3 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 407 | 1 | 0 | 1618 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 395 | 4 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1637 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 300 | 5 | 0 | 1553 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 190 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 448 | 0 | 0 | 1618 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 1623 |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 73 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1510 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 293 | 3 | 0 | 1505 |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2 | 91 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | RB Leipzig | 5 | 239 | 0 | 1 | 1697 |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Associazione Sportiva Roma | 6 | 250 | 0 | 0 | 1660 |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | Associazione Sportiva Roma | 2 | 180 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Associazione Sportiva Roma | 3 | 208 | 0 | 0 | 1839 |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | Associazione Sportiva Roma | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Italy Cup | UC Sampdoria | 3 | 149 | 2 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duván Zapata Serie A · 2021 | 30 | €33.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Goran Pandev Serie A · 2013 | 30 | €10.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Álvaro Morata Laliga · 2024 | 32 | €16.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Olivier Giroud Premier League · 2016 | 30 | €25.0M | €18.0M | fell |
| Óscar Cardozo Liga Portugal · 2013 | 30 | €17.5M | €6.5M | fell |
| Guido Burgstaller Bundesliga · 2018 | 29 | €13.0M | €2.4M | fell |
| Romelu Lukaku Serie A · 2024 | 31 | €30.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Radamel Falcao Ligue 1 · 2018 | 32 | €12.0M | €4.8M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Sept 2020 | Roma | Leverkusen | €26.5M | €25.0M |
| 24 Aug 2020 | Leipzig | Roma | Free / loan | €25.0M |
| 2 Sept 2019 | Roma | Leipzig | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Sampdoria | Roma | €42.0M | €20.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Roma | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €20.0M |
| 29 Aug 2017 | Sampdoria | Roma | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 13 Jul 2016 | Sparta Prague | Sampdoria | €4.0M | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Bohemians 1905 | Sparta Prague | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Sparta Prague | Bohemians 1905 | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Sparta U19 | Sparta Prague | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Sparta U17 | Sparta U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Sparta Yth. | Sparta U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 27 Mar 2007 | Optimum Sport | Sparta Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 4 Sept 2003 | Vestec Yth. | Optimum Sport | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.