Johan Mojica

34 yrs · Left-back (also LM) · Colombia
RCD Mallorca · Laliga · Foot: left · Height: 184 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€1.5M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€418k – €1.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€976k – €1.6M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€396k – €1.1M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€264k – €1.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€418k – €1.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€976k – €1.6M
Projected value (24 months)€396k – €1.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Johan Mojica's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-1.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAbove average73.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable33.9 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €557k vs market €1.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-55% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2726 (80% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.13
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.17
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
74 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1421
Opponent strength
1499
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€396k – €1.1M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -58% (IQR -76% to -50%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26RCD MallorcaLaligaLB35272680%040.130.17149914210.95
2024/25RCD MallorcaLaligaLB36275380%120.100.15151514150.95
2023/24CA OsasunaLaligaLB30204160%030.130.16151614421.00
2022/23Villarreal CFLaligaLB1763419%000.000.06145015810.98
2022/23Elche CFLaligaLB32708%000.000.13148713530.98
2021/22Elche CFLaligaLB33285884%250.220.24154714211.05
2020/21Elche CFLaligaLB17120335%000.000.08157614111.10
2020/21Atalanta BCSerie ALB112959%000.000.05137516730.90
2018/19Girona FCLaligaLB1191%000.000.14148014281.14
2017/18Girona FCLaligaLM30213262%040.170.29153814591.11
2013/14Rayo VallecanoLaligaLB1273521%000.000.11158814711.19

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26World CupColombia218000—
2024/25SupercopaRCD Mallorca190001819
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingCA Osasuna2180101501
2023/24Copa Del ReyCA Osasuna16600—
2023/24SupercopaCA Osasuna112001695
2022/23Copa Del ReyVillarreal CF326700—
2021/22Copa Del ReyElche CF112000—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueAtalanta BC296001823
2017/18Copa Del ReyGirona FC217010—
2013/14Copa Del ReyRayo Vallecano322600—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Damián Suárez
Laliga · 2022
34€1.5M€650kfell
Theodor Gebre Selassie
Bundesliga · 2020
34€1.4M€300kfell
Yunis Abdelhamid
Ligue 1 · 2022
35€1.2M€600kfell
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
Bundesliga · 2024
33€2.0M€1.0Mfell
Cem Can
Super Lig · 2013
32€1.5M€300kfell
Paul Verhaegh
Bundesliga · 2018
35€1.0M€250kfell
Benoît Angbwa
Premier Liga · 2013
31€2.0M€1.2Mfell
Romain Thomas
Ligue 1 · 2022
34€1.0M€400kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
23 Jul 2024VillarrealRCD Mallorca€1.5M€2.2M
30 Jun 2024CA OsasunaVillarrealFree / loan€2.2M
26 Jul 2023VillarrealCA OsasunaFree / loan€3.0M
1 Sept 2022Elche CFVillarreal€5.5M€5.0M
8 Aug 2021GironaElche CF€1.2M€2.0M
30 Jun 2021Elche CFGironaFree / loan€2.0M
15 Jan 2021GironaElche CFFree / loan€2.5M
14 Jan 2021AtalantaGironaFree / loan€2.5M
22 Sept 2020GironaAtalantaFree / loan€1.6M
1 Jul 2018Rayo VallecanoGirona€5.0M€4.0M
30 Jun 2018GironaRayo VallecanoFree / loan€4.0M
18 Aug 2017Rayo VallecanoGironaFree / loan€1.0M
30 Jun 2017GironaRayo VallecanoFree / loan€1.0M
31 Jan 2017Rayo VallecanoGironaFree / loan€1.0M
30 Jun 2016Real ValladolidRayo VallecanoFree / loan€1.8M
29 Jul 2014Rayo VallecanoReal ValladolidFree / loan€500k
28 Jul 2014Deportivo CaliRayo Vallecano€500k€500k
30 Jun 2014Rayo VallecanoDeportivo CaliFree / loan€500k
5 Jul 2013Deportivo CaliRayo VallecanoFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Dep. Cali U20Deportivo CaliUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Johan Mojica · MoneyballAI