
Johan Mojica
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Johan Mojica's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-1.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Above average | 73.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €557k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -55% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2726 (80% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.17
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 74 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1421
- Opponent strength
- 1499
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €396k – €1.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -58% (IQR -76% to -50%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | LB | 35 | 2726 | 80% | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 1499 | 1421 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | LB | 36 | 2753 | 80% | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 1515 | 1415 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | LB | 30 | 2041 | 60% | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 1516 | 1442 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | LB | 17 | 634 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1450 | 1581 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Elche CF | Laliga | LB | 3 | 270 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1487 | 1353 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Elche CF | Laliga | LB | 33 | 2858 | 84% | 2 | 5 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 1547 | 1421 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Elche CF | Laliga | LB | 17 | 1203 | 35% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1576 | 1411 | 1.10 |
| 2020/21 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | LB | 11 | 295 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1375 | 1673 | 0.90 |
| 2018/19 | Girona FC | Laliga | LB | 1 | 19 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1480 | 1428 | 1.14 |
| 2017/18 | Girona FC | Laliga | LM | 30 | 2132 | 62% | 0 | 4 | 0.17 | 0.29 | 1538 | 1459 | 1.11 |
| 2013/14 | Rayo Vallecano | Laliga | LB | 12 | 735 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1588 | 1471 | 1.19 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Colombia | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Supercopa | RCD Mallorca | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1819 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | CA Osasuna | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | 1501 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 1 | 66 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Supercopa | CA Osasuna | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1695 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 3 | 267 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Elche CF | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 2 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 1823 |
| 2017/18 | Copa Del Rey | Girona FC | 2 | 170 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Copa Del Rey | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 226 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damián Suárez Laliga · 2022 | 34 | €1.5M | €650k | fell |
| Theodor Gebre Selassie Bundesliga · 2020 | 34 | €1.4M | €300k | fell |
| Yunis Abdelhamid Ligue 1 · 2022 | 35 | €1.2M | €600k | fell |
| Jeffrey Gouweleeuw Bundesliga · 2024 | 33 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Cem Can Super Lig · 2013 | 32 | €1.5M | €300k | fell |
| Paul Verhaegh Bundesliga · 2018 | 35 | €1.0M | €250k | fell |
| Benoît Angbwa Premier Liga · 2013 | 31 | €2.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Romain Thomas Ligue 1 · 2022 | 34 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2024 | Villarreal | RCD Mallorca | €1.5M | €2.2M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | CA Osasuna | Villarreal | Free / loan | €2.2M |
| 26 Jul 2023 | Villarreal | CA Osasuna | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 1 Sept 2022 | Elche CF | Villarreal | €5.5M | €5.0M |
| 8 Aug 2021 | Girona | Elche CF | €1.2M | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Elche CF | Girona | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 15 Jan 2021 | Girona | Elche CF | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 14 Jan 2021 | Atalanta | Girona | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 22 Sept 2020 | Girona | Atalanta | Free / loan | €1.6M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Rayo Vallecano | Girona | €5.0M | €4.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Girona | Rayo Vallecano | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 18 Aug 2017 | Rayo Vallecano | Girona | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Girona | Rayo Vallecano | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 31 Jan 2017 | Rayo Vallecano | Girona | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Real Valladolid | Rayo Vallecano | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 29 Jul 2014 | Rayo Vallecano | Real Valladolid | Free / loan | €500k |
| 28 Jul 2014 | Deportivo Cali | Rayo Vallecano | €500k | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2014 | Rayo Vallecano | Deportivo Cali | Free / loan | €500k |
| 5 Jul 2013 | Deportivo Cali | Rayo Vallecano | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Dep. Cali U20 | Deportivo Cali | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.