
Attila Szalai
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Attila Szalai's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-2.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 57
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 16.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.1M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -40% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1163 (38% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.08
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 17 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1203
- Opponent strength
- 1263
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €700k – €2.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -57% (IQR -68% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1163 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 50 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–191%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 54%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | CB | 15 | 1163 | 38% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1263 | 1203 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 4 | 244 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1554 | 1317 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | CB | 4 | 289 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1498 | 1471 | 1.01 |
| 2023/24 | SC Freiburg | Bundesliga | CB | 3 | 101 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1622 | 1481 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | CB | 32 | 2880 | 89% | 2 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.08 | 1278 | 1516 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | CB | 31 | 2229 | 65% | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 1240 | 1422 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | CB | 21 | 1834 | 51% | 3 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.09 | 1270 | 1380 | 0.37 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Fenerbahce | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | 1523 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Fenerbahce | 4 | 280 | 0 | 0 | 1326 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Fenerbahce | 2 | 210 | 1 | 0 | 1530 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Fenerbahce | 6 | 386 | 0 | 0 | 1532 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Fenerbahce | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1371 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Apollon Limassol | 3 | 270 | 1 | 1 | 1320 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayfur Bingöl Super Lig · 2021 | 28 | €850k | €1.7M | rose |
| Teenage Hadebe Super Lig · 2024 | 29 | €2.0M | €900k | fell |
| Mert Çetin Super Lig · 2022 | 25 | €1.7M | €700k | fell |
| Rami Gershon Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 26 | €900k | €1.8M | rose |
| Lucas Taylor Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €600k | €200k | fell |
| Giannis Skondras Scottish Premiership · 2017 | 27 | €700k | €450k | fell |
| Simon Deli Super Lig · 2022 | 31 | €1.8M | €200k | fell |
| Viktor Korniyenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Pogon Szczecin | Hoffenheim | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Hoffenheim | Pogon Szczecin | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Kasimpasa | Hoffenheim | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 11 Jul 2025 | Hoffenheim | Kasimpasa | Free / loan | €1.7M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Standard Liège | Hoffenheim | Free / loan | €1.7M |
| 12 Jan 2025 | Hoffenheim | Standard Liège | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Freiburg | Hoffenheim | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 21 Jan 2024 | Hoffenheim | Freiburg | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 24 Jul 2023 | Fenerbahçe | Hoffenheim | €12.3M | €14.0M |
| 18 Jan 2021 | Apol. Limassol | Fenerbahçe | €3.9M | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Mezőkövesd | Apol. Limassol | €275k | €300k |
| 21 Jul 2017 | Rapid Wien II | Mezőkövesd | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | AKA Rapid U18 | Rapid Wien II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | AKA Rapid U16 | AKA Rapid U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | AKA Rapid U15 | AKA Rapid U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2012 | Vasas Yth. | AKA Rapid U15 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 5 Aug 2010 | Vác Yth. | Vasas Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Gödi SE Jgd. | Vác Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.