Anton Zinkovskiy

30 yrs · Left winger (also RW) · Russia
FK Sochi · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 175 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€2.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€443k – €1.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€504k – €1.0M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€530k – €1.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€828k – €573k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€443k – €1.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€504k – €1.0M
Projected value (24 months)€530k – €1.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Anton Zinkovskiy's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.25x the positional average in the league (1700 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 41

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average23.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.2 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €591k vs market €2.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-54% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.56
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €4.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1700 (63% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.32
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.51
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
24 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.56 (rank 10)
Team strength (Elo)
1197
Opponent strength
1343
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€530k – €1.5M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 23 pts; changed club; team strength down (-110 Elo); relative output up 86% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -59% to -17%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1700 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
20 (ATT)
Relative output kept
76%–104%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
50%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FK SochiPremier LigaLW28170063%330.320.51134311970.56
2024/25PFK Krylya Sovetov SamaraPremier LigaLW1183231%010.110.29126612570.55
2024/25FK Spartak MoskvaPremier LigaLW72549%000.000.25122114700.55
2023/24FK Spartak MoskvaPremier LigaLW26145454%200.120.23131413830.49
2022/23FK Spartak MoskvaPremier LigaRW28125346%350.570.42129713940.53
2021/22PFK Krylya Sovetov SamaraPremier LigaLW30245491%4110.550.60135812890.52
2019/20PFK Krylya Sovetov SamaraPremier LigaLW27189470%080.380.51140612800.63
2018/19PFK Krylya Sovetov SamaraPremier LigaLW1382831%110.220.40142012670.69

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Russian CupFK Sochi35310—
2024/25Russian CupFK Spartak Moskva632703—
2023/24Russian CupFK Spartak Moskva1055621—
2022/23Russian CupFK Spartak Moskva836302—
2022/23Russian Super CupFK Spartak Moskva145001530
2021/22Russian CupPFK Krylya Sovetov Samara23500—
2019/20Russian CupPFK Krylya Sovetov Samara12800—
2018/19Russian CupChertanovo Moscow112010—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Evans Kangwa
Premier Liga · 2021
29€1.0M€500kfell
Hervé Kage
Jupiler Pro League · 2017
28€1.2M€250kfell
Serdar Gürler
Super Lig · 2020
29€1.2M€1.8Mrose
Ricardo Pedriel
Super Lig · 2016
29€1.2M€300kfell
Dani Schahin
Eredivisie · 2018
29€700k€500kfell
Yuki Soma
Liga Portugal · 2024
27€1.5M€2.0Mrose
Bernard Berisha
Premier Liga · 2021
30€2.5M€1.2Mfell
Mame Thiam
Super Lig · 2023
31€2.4M€1.7Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026FK SochiSpartak MoscowFree / loan€2.0M
7 Jul 2025Spartak MoscowFK SochiFree / loan€2.5M
30 Jun 2025KS SamaraSpartak MoscowFree / loan€2.5M
18 Feb 2025Spartak MoscowKS SamaraFree / loan€2.5M
1 Jul 2022KS SamaraSpartak Moscow€3.2M€3.5M
13 Jan 2019ChertanovoKS Samara€350k€900k
31 Dec 2016Zenit 2 S-PbChertanovoFree / loan€100k
19 Aug 2016ChertanovoZenit 2 S-PbFree / loan€100k
29 Aug 2014Kuban IIChertanovoFree / loanData unavailable
2 Sept 2013Akad ChertanovoKuban IIUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Anton Zinkovskiy · MoneyballAI