
Anton Zinkovskiy
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Anton Zinkovskiy's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.25x the positional average in the league (1700 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 41
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 23.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €591k vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -54% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1700 (63% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.32
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.51
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 24 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1197
- Opponent strength
- 1343
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €530k – €1.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 23 pts; changed club; team strength down (-110 Elo); relative output up 86% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -59% to -17%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1700 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 50%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FK Sochi | Premier Liga | LW | 28 | 1700 | 63% | 3 | 3 | 0.32 | 0.51 | 1343 | 1197 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | Premier Liga | LW | 11 | 832 | 31% | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.29 | 1266 | 1257 | 0.55 |
| 2024/25 | FK Spartak Moskva | Premier Liga | LW | 7 | 254 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1221 | 1470 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | FK Spartak Moskva | Premier Liga | LW | 26 | 1454 | 54% | 2 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.23 | 1314 | 1383 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | FK Spartak Moskva | Premier Liga | RW | 28 | 1253 | 46% | 3 | 5 | 0.57 | 0.42 | 1297 | 1394 | 0.53 |
| 2021/22 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | Premier Liga | LW | 30 | 2454 | 91% | 4 | 11 | 0.55 | 0.60 | 1358 | 1289 | 0.52 |
| 2019/20 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | Premier Liga | LW | 27 | 1894 | 70% | 0 | 8 | 0.38 | 0.51 | 1406 | 1280 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | Premier Liga | LW | 13 | 828 | 31% | 1 | 1 | 0.22 | 0.40 | 1420 | 1267 | 0.69 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | FK Sochi | 3 | 53 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | FK Spartak Moskva | 6 | 327 | 0 | 3 | — |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | FK Spartak Moskva | 10 | 556 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | FK Spartak Moskva | 8 | 363 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Super Cup | FK Spartak Moskva | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1530 |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 2 | 35 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Russian Cup | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Russian Cup | Chertanovo Moscow | 1 | 120 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evans Kangwa Premier Liga · 2021 | 29 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Hervé Kage Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 28 | €1.2M | €250k | fell |
| Serdar Gürler Super Lig · 2020 | 29 | €1.2M | €1.8M | rose |
| Ricardo Pedriel Super Lig · 2016 | 29 | €1.2M | €300k | fell |
| Dani Schahin Eredivisie · 2018 | 29 | €700k | €500k | fell |
| Yuki Soma Liga Portugal · 2024 | 27 | €1.5M | €2.0M | rose |
| Bernard Berisha Premier Liga · 2021 | 30 | €2.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Mame Thiam Super Lig · 2023 | 31 | €2.4M | €1.7M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | FK Sochi | Spartak Moscow | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 7 Jul 2025 | Spartak Moscow | FK Sochi | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | KS Samara | Spartak Moscow | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 18 Feb 2025 | Spartak Moscow | KS Samara | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | KS Samara | Spartak Moscow | €3.2M | €3.5M |
| 13 Jan 2019 | Chertanovo | KS Samara | €350k | €900k |
| 31 Dec 2016 | Zenit 2 S-Pb | Chertanovo | Free / loan | €100k |
| 19 Aug 2016 | Chertanovo | Zenit 2 S-Pb | Free / loan | €100k |
| 29 Aug 2014 | Kuban II | Chertanovo | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 2 Sept 2013 | Akad Chertanovo | Kuban II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.