Felix Uduokhai
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Felix Uduokhai's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-2.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 67
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 48.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.2M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -42% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1124 (37% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 49 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1350
- Opponent strength
- 1281
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.2M – €2.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 30 pts; relative output up 73% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -35% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1124 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 50 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–191%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 54%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CB | 15 | 1124 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1281 | 1350 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CB | 26 | 2173 | 67% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1274 | 1340 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 33 | 2922 | 95% | 2 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 1526 | 1393 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 19 | 1449 | 47% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 1537 | 1378 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 13 | 784 | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1584 | 1425 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 29 | 2610 | 85% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 1526 | 1396 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 26 | 1961 | 64% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1532 | 1408 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 11 | 238 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1447 | 1542 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 19 | 1558 | 51% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1528 | 1434 | 1.04 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 3 | 181 | 0 | 0 | 1307 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1423 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 7 | 585 | 0 | 0 | 1519 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | FC Augsburg | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | FC Augsburg | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | FC Augsburg | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 3 | 263 | 2 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tin Jedvaj Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €2.5M | €2.7M | flat |
| Nikita Chernov Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Marcel Tisserand Super Lig · 2022 | 29 | €2.8M | €2.0M | fell |
| Valentin Rosier Super Lig · 2024 | 28 | €4.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Daniel Amartey Super Lig · 2024 | 30 | €5.0M | €5.0M | flat |
| Arthur Masuaku Super Lig · 2024 | 31 | €4.2M | €2.0M | fell |
| Omar Elabdellaoui Super Lig · 2021 | 30 | €3.0M | €900k | fell |
| Marco Torsiglieri Premier Liga · 2015 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.2M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Augsburg | Besiktas | €5.0M | €7.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Besiktas | Augsburg | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 26 Aug 2024 | Augsburg | Besiktas | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Wolfsburg | Augsburg | €7.0M | €6.8M |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Augsburg | Wolfsburg | Free / loan | €6.8M |
| 28 Aug 2019 | Wolfsburg | Augsburg | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | 1860 Munich | Wolfsburg | €1.0M | €800k |
| 13 Jan 2016 | TSV 1860 U19 | 1860 Munich | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | TSV 1860 U17 | TSV 1860 U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | TSV 1860 Yth. | TSV 1860 U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Erzgeb. Aue Yth | TSV 1860 Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.