
Borja Iglesias
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Borja Iglesias's performance-implied value at EUR 3.2M-5.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-2.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.27x the positional average in the league (1902 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | High | 85.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.2M vs market €2.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -62% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1902 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.76
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.65
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 85 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1498
- Opponent strength
- 1496
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €661k – €1.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -78% (IQR -82% to -61%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | ST | 35 | 1902 | 56% | 14 | 2 | 0.76 | 0.65 | 1496 | 1498 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | ST | 37 | 1964 | 57% | 11 | 3 | 0.64 | 0.69 | 1524 | 1476 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Real Betis Balompié | Laliga | ST | 11 | 404 | 12% | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | 0.46 | 1514 | 1520 | 1.00 |
| 2023/24 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | ST | 7 | 252 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1398 | 1787 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | Real Betis Balompié | Laliga | ST | 35 | 2381 | 70% | 15 | 3 | 0.68 | 0.58 | 1516 | 1530 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Real Betis Balompié | Laliga | ST | 33 | 1571 | 46% | 10 | 0 | 0.57 | 0.50 | 1512 | 1588 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Real Betis Balompié | Laliga | ST | 28 | 1411 | 41% | 11 | 0 | 0.70 | 0.69 | 1560 | 1557 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Real Betis Balompié | Laliga | ST | 35 | 1921 | 56% | 3 | 3 | 0.28 | 0.40 | 1519 | 1481 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | Laliga | ST | 37 | 3083 | 90% | 17 | 3 | 0.58 | 0.60 | 1551 | 1559 | 1.14 |
| 2014/15 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | ST | 1 | 11 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.64 | 1656 | 1564 | 1.18 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Celta de Vigo | 13 | 718 | 2 | 1 | 1492 |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 2 | 90 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 2 | 99 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Real Betis Balompié | 6 | 377 | 1 | 1 | 1486 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2 | 139 | 0 | 0 | 1543 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Real Betis Balompié | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Real Betis Balompié | 6 | 143 | 0 | 1 | 1546 |
| 2022/23 | Supercopa | Real Betis Balompié | 1 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1731 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Real Betis Balompié | 1 | 62 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Real Betis Balompié | 8 | 647 | 5 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Real Betis Balompié | 10 | 556 | 4 | 2 | 1535 |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Real Betis Balompié | 4 | 205 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | 3 | 245 | 3 | 1 | 1316 |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Real Betis Balompié | 2 | 147 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | 6 | 416 | 3 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 1 | 39 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Kruse Bundesliga · 2021 | 33 | €5.0M | €900k | fell |
| Riccardo Meggiorini Serie A · 2016 | 31 | €3.5M | €600k | fell |
| Antonio Cassano Serie A · 2013 | 31 | €6.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Ante Budimir Laliga · 2024 | 33 | €5.0M | €2.8M | fell |
| Roger Martí Laliga · 2022 | 31 | €5.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Lars Stindl Bundesliga · 2021 | 33 | €5.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Mauricio Pinilla Serie A · 2015 | 31 | €2.2M | €800k | fell |
| Fidel Laliga · 2022 | 33 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2025 | Real Betis | Celta de Vigo | €2.0M | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Celta de Vigo | Real Betis | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 19 Jul 2024 | Real Betis | Celta de Vigo | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Leverkusen | Real Betis | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Real Betis | Leverkusen | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 14 Aug 2019 | Espanyol | Real Betis | €28.0M | €28.0M |
| 9 Jul 2018 | Celta de Vigo | Espanyol | €10.0M | €1.0M |
| 8 Jul 2018 | Celta Vigo B | Celta de Vigo | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Real Zaragoza | Celta Vigo B | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Celta Vigo B | Real Zaragoza | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | FC Villarreal C | Celta Vigo B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Villarreal U19 | FC Villarreal C | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Roda U19 | Villarreal U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Valencia CF You | Roda U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.