
Carles Pérez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Carles Pérez's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.46x the positional average in the league (1189 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 73
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 34.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €610k vs market €1.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -38% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1189 (51% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 35 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1255
- Opponent strength
- 1278
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €654k – €1.5M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-140 Elo); league level down (-210 Elo); relative output down 46% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -30% (IQR -43% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1189 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | RW | 18 | 1189 | 51% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 1278 | 1255 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Getafe CF | Laliga | RW | 27 | 1430 | 42% | 3 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.37 | 1518 | 1395 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | RW | 16 | 768 | 22% | 1 | 1 | 0.23 | 0.43 | 1454 | 1449 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | RW | 35 | 2146 | 63% | 3 | 5 | 0.34 | 0.41 | 1499 | 1441 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Associazione Sportiva Roma | Serie A | RW | 19 | 542 | 16% | 1 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.23 | 1397 | 1589 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Associazione Sportiva Roma | Serie A | AM | 21 | 761 | 22% | 2 | 2 | 0.47 | 0.28 | 1393 | 1591 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Associazione Sportiva Roma | Serie A | RW | 14 | 563 | 16% | 1 | 3 | 0.64 | 0.32 | 1347 | 1582 | 0.82 |
| 2019/20 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | RW | 10 | 473 | 14% | 1 | 3 | 0.76 | 0.26 | 1493 | 1813 | 1.16 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Aris Thessalonikis | 3 | 226 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Aris Thessalonikis | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1350 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 3 | 150 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 3 | 73 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 3 | 263 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Associazione Sportiva Roma | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Associazione Sportiva Roma | 2 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1384 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Associazione Sportiva Roma | 9 | 563 | 1 | 1 | 1520 |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Associazione Sportiva Roma | 1 | 35 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Associazione Sportiva Roma | 3 | 206 | 1 | 0 | 1592 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 1 | 85 | 1 | 0 | 1630 |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 1 | 59 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houssam Ghacha Super Lig · 2023 | 28 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Ramazan Civelek Super Lig · 2024 | 28 | €1.0M | €700k | fell |
| Erdoğan Yeşilyurt Super Lig · 2022 | 29 | €1.8M | €1.2M | fell |
| Konrad Michalak Super Lig · 2023 | 26 | €1.7M | €600k | fell |
| İbrahim Yılmaz Super Lig · 2023 | 29 | €750k | €200k | fell |
| Ximo Navarro Super League 1 · 2015 | 27 | €500k | €350k | fell |
| Mateo García Super League 1 · 2021 | 25 | €1.8M | €1.8M | flat |
| Kenan Karaman Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €1.4M | €1.4M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Aris Saloniki | Celta de Vigo | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 10 Jul 2025 | Celta de Vigo | Aris Saloniki | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Getafe | Celta de Vigo | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jul 2024 | Celta de Vigo | Getafe | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Roma | Celta de Vigo | €5.2M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Celta de Vigo | Roma | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 9 Aug 2022 | Roma | Celta de Vigo | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Barcelona | Roma | €13.0M | €9.0M |
| 31 Aug 2020 | Roma | Barcelona | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 30 Jan 2020 | Barcelona | Roma | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Barcelona B | Barcelona | Unknown | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Barça U19 | Barcelona B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Barça U18 | Barça U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Barça U16 | Barça U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Espanyol Youth | Barça U16 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | CF Damm Youth | Espanyol Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.